2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

{
  "id": "193612",
  "ticker": "2026-february-1st-2nd-3rd-hottest-on-record",
  "slug": "2026-february-1st-2nd-3rd-hottest-on-record",
  "title": "2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?",
  "description": "This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record.\n\nNote: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"Feb\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-01-30T22:55:25.118877Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-01-30T22:55:25.118873Z",
  "endDate": "2026-03-10T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earth+on+fire.png",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earth+on+fire.png",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 58505.13279,
  "volume": 250356.842951,
  "openInterest": 0,
  "createdAt": "2026-01-30T15:16:33.37723Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-02-23T12:13:27.40655Z",
  "competitive": 0.8181215560917433,
  "volume24hr": 638.002857,
  "volume1wk": 19388.625827,
  "volume1mo": 250353.78295100003,
  "volume1yr": 250353.78295100003,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 58505.13279,
  "negRisk": true,
  "negRiskMarketID": "0xf40c411f17c1f586079459f8dcbf3487b152c9b47a93ea41db466cd2b8078000",
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1299163",
      "question": "Will February 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?",
      "conditionId": "0x53d197ad6935f25ea3d8006886a9a53342216e39b2054aa8d4b5e69d4755805f",
      "slug": "will-february-2026-be-the-1st-hottest-on-record",
      "endDate": "2026-03-10T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "8799.38471",
      "startDate": "2026-01-30T22:52:24.078651Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earth+on+fire.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earth+on+fire.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record.\n\nNote: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"Feb\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]",
      "volume": "37362.504254",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-01-30T15:16:34.916982Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-23T12:14:43.474145Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "1st hottest",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0xf40c411f17c1f586079459f8dcbf3487b152c9b47a93ea41db466cd2b8078000",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 37362.504254,
      "liquidityNum": 8799.38471,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-10",
      "startDateIso": "2026-01-30",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 42.76,
      "volume1wk": 11096.618213,
      "volume1mo": 37359.444254,
      "volume1yr": 37359.444254,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"59307474427896748394253621038928964429531782304165393857185305178436371493448\", \"11773088999584478318406380122421453627101511271136765221542658479910052621570\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 42.76,
      "volume1wkClob": 11096.618213,
      "volume1moClob": 37359.444254,
      "volume1yrClob": 37359.444254,
      "volumeClob": 37362.504254,
      "liquidityClob": 8799.38471,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0xf40c411f17c1f586079459f8dcbf3487b152c9b47a93ea41db466cd2b8078000",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x8eb8c2648a7e0ae3983f49bfe184f884aab751ef02943f03192e081a9a336ad1",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-30T22:51:18Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8009597099244316,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.001,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.002,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.001,
      "bestBid": 0.001,
      "bestAsk": 0.002,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-30T22:50:04.179469Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1299164",
      "question": "Will February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?",
      "conditionId": "0xcb82761bd81fa7c66e08f4fb4725c928278c76a31822d08f2e919066cfcc290c",
      "slug": "will-february-2026-be-the-2nd-hottest-on-record",
      "endDate": "2026-03-10T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "10053.54524",
      "startDate": "2026-01-30T22:52:30.16149Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earth+on+fire.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earth+on+fire.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record.\n\nNote: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"Feb\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",
      "volume": "37521.306143",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-01-30T15:16:35.727381Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-23T12:14:44.62711Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "2nd hottest",
      "groupItemThreshold": "1",
      "questionID": "0xf40c411f17c1f586079459f8dcbf3487b152c9b47a93ea41db466cd2b8078001",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 37521.306143,
      "liquidityNum": 10053.54524,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-10",
      "startDateIso": "2026-01-30",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 294.65999999999997,
      "volume1wk": 2801.202429,
      "volume1mo": 37521.306142999994,
      "volume1yr": 37521.306142999994,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"25233797979753115193493063520561434222572886836294760066149450742724462793353\", \"15972265036324704580150009546129230893081291454538828985480132892785529163470\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 294.65999999999997,
      "volume1wkClob": 2801.202429,
      "volume1moClob": 37521.306142999994,
      "volume1yrClob": 37521.306142999994,
      "volumeClob": 37521.306143,
      "liquidityClob": 10053.54524,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0xf40c411f17c1f586079459f8dcbf3487b152c9b47a93ea41db466cd2b8078000",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0xab0419a2682df73fb1105ba1ea835d9c5c2b37aab6c397584876690751cf638f",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-30T22:51:24Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8015991903848178,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.003,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0015,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.001,
      "bestBid": 0.001,
      "bestAsk": 0.004,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-30T22:50:04.184324Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1299166",
      "question": "Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?",
      "conditionId": "0x15ff9c3631b139b5e74cb1edbc34fe3c327406781d206d0e43d4c33c8b256203",
      "slug": "will-february-2026-be-the-4th-or-lower-hottest-on-record",
      "endDate": "2026-03-10T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "19375.62398",
      "startDate": "2026-01-30T22:52:41.602569Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earth+on+fire.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earth+on+fire.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record.\n\nNote: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"Feb\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.9725\", \"0.0275\"]",
      "volume": "92012.007544",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-01-30T15:16:36.999571Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-23T12:14:46.076273Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "4th or lower",
      "groupItemThreshold": "3",
      "questionID": "0xf40c411f17c1f586079459f8dcbf3487b152c9b47a93ea41db466cd2b8078003",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 92012.007544,
      "liquidityNum": 19375.62398,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-10",
      "startDateIso": "2026-01-30",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 125.212857,
      "volume1wk": 3203.053583,
      "volume1mo": 92012.00754400001,
      "volume1yr": 92012.00754400001,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"39767061667393855896374698361881230879589636523861921480943483960171585422732\", \"31863191987707938182865533491100132541822734526527474047654129832625905628884\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 125.212857,
      "volume1wkClob": 3203.053583,
      "volume1moClob": 92012.00754400001,
      "volume1yrClob": 92012.00754400001,
      "volumeClob": 92012.007544,
      "liquidityClob": 19375.62398,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0xf40c411f17c1f586079459f8dcbf3487b152c9b47a93ea41db466cd2b8078000",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0xe0de6dbffca19d2e18b72cb3e5ae470f1502872826ce5bfe2e518eb0e18084e7",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-30T22:51:36Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8174902028908497,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.025,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.002,
      "oneHourPriceChange": 0.0005,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.1525,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.978,
      "bestBid": 0.96,
      "bestAsk": 0.985,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-30T22:50:04.187484Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1299165",
      "question": "Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?",
      "conditionId": "0x4a3fabf5f260d95c23b32e84a044a0fa7520a949a6ce72c91a1fb9b528c30da5",
      "slug": "will-february-2026-be-the-3rd-hottest-on-record",
      "endDate": "2026-03-10T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "20215.34122",
      "startDate": "2026-01-30T22:52:36.525025Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earth+on+fire.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earth+on+fire.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record.\n\nNote: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"Feb\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0285\", \"0.9715\"]",
      "volume": "83461.02501",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-01-30T15:16:36.303347Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-23T12:14:42.215859Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "3rd hottest",
      "groupItemThreshold": "2",
      "questionID": "0xf40c411f17c1f586079459f8dcbf3487b152c9b47a93ea41db466cd2b8078002",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 83461.02501,
      "liquidityNum": 20215.34122,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-10",
      "startDateIso": "2026-01-30",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 175.37,
      "volume1wk": 2287.751602,
      "volume1mo": 83461.02501000003,
      "volume1yr": 83461.02501000003,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"15507398463949221792739400479532906797604896132983068792017174207275844546228\", \"99768326227404673274893559204677297356629773332258747598678933898783807525790\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 175.37,
      "volume1wkClob": 2287.751602,
      "volume1moClob": 83461.02501000003,
      "volume1yrClob": 83461.02501000003,
      "volumeClob": 83461.02501,
      "liquidityClob": 20215.34122,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0xf40c411f17c1f586079459f8dcbf3487b152c9b47a93ea41db466cd2b8078000",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x3151ba6f915dd40a941a9d54dca05c52ca4ead339a97ce0122f2a6f55fc65e88",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-30T22:51:30Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8181215560917433,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.021,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005,
      "oneHourPriceChange": 0.0005,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.1215,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.02,
      "bestBid": 0.018,
      "bestAsk": 0.039,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-30T22:50:04.185997Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "series": [
    {
      "id": "10025",
      "ticker": "hottest-month",
      "slug": "hottest-month",
      "title": "Hottest Month",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "monthly",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earth+on+fire.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earth+on+fire.png",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "archived": false,
      "featured": false,
      "restricted": true,
      "createdAt": "2025-02-01T00:20:30.657987Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-23T12:13:35.682299Z",
      "volume24hr": 638.002857,
      "volume": 250356.842951,
      "liquidity": 58505.13279,
      "commentCount": 557,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "84",
      "label": "Weather",
      "slug": "weather",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:17:34.81+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:17:34.814Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:15:40.452105Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "74",
      "label": "Science",
      "slug": "science",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:20.623+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:20.826Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:15:20.36977Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "103037",
      "label": "Climate & Science",
      "slug": "climate-science",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-12-30T23:31:52.33537Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:15:10.391999Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": false,
  "enableNegRisk": true,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "seriesSlug": "hottest-month",
  "gmpChartMode": "default",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-30T22:48:55.156865Z",
  "requiresTranslation": false
}