
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Ticker
aapl-above-in-march-2026
Volume
328.9K
24h volume
48.7K
1w volume
89.9K
Open interest
41.8K
Liquidity
63.4K
Liquidity CLOB
63.4K
Start
Feb 27, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 1, 2026
Resolution source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history
Event ID
235644
Slug
aapl-above-in-march-2026
Markets
13
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"slug": "aapl-above-in-march-2026",
"title": "Will Apple (AAPL) close above ___ end of March?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-31T20:00:00Z",
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"question": "Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of March?",
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{
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"question": "Will Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of March?",
"conditionId": "0x2397b532666034910093b9b82d9df0798586d1aeb0db539a2d7c80e237114965",
"slug": "aapl-above-220-on-march-31-2026",
"resolutionSource": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T20:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "455.55839",
"startDate": "2026-02-27T23:34:54.66805Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/aapl-week-december-5-2025-ezxpBoeOg6BO.png",
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"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.9715\", \"0.0285\"]",
"volume": "2414.296134999999",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
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{
"id": "1460594",
"question": "Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of March?",
"conditionId": "0x217f15d80517f21e63be8b382e46e6404a765bd106021b8f1e52573a1fbd7f57",
"slug": "aapl-above-230-on-march-31-2026",
"resolutionSource": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T20:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "3808.0387",
"startDate": "2026-02-27T23:23:11.755235Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/aapl-week-december-5-2025-ezxpBoeOg6BO.png",
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"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
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{
"id": "1460620",
"question": "Will Apple (AAPL) close above $240 end of March?",
"conditionId": "0xc34a1a00b6fc35cb02f193cfbdda0206281a7fd67d2ac26d756941bfd35db29f",
"slug": "aapl-above-240-on-march-31-2026",
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"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
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{
"id": "1460750",
"question": "Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of March?",
"conditionId": "0xc7e8123fc217fb721ca70cb1f1e72732f4e4d612cff57500be3c83a6207ece55",
"slug": "aapl-above-280-on-march-31-2026",
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"endDate": "2026-03-31T20:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a [X]% probability of Apple (AAPL) closing above [strike price, e.g., $230] on March 28, 2025, driven primarily by the stock's current trading level around $225 amid a tech sector rally fueled by AI optimism and easing Fed rate cut expectations. Recent catalysts include robust holiday iPhone demand projections and services revenue growth outpacing hardware, with Q2 fiscal results (ending March) due early May potentially influencing late positioning. Key risks: China sales weakness and supply chain tensions; watch Nasdaq futures and March 19 FOMC for macro cues, as AAPL beta exceeds 1.2. Implied volatility suggests 5-7% swings possible before expiration.",
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