
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Ticker
another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by
Volume
281.9K
24h volume
1.7K
1w volume
100.1K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
7.5K
Liquidity CLOB
7.5K
Start
Dec 31, 2025
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 31, 2025
Event ID
134960
Slug
another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-555
Markets
2
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"id": "134960",
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"slug": "another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-555",
"title": "Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. \n\nAfter a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-12-31T17:14:32.685134Z",
"creationDate": "2025-12-31T17:14:32.685132Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
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"active": true,
"closed": false,
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"volume": 281868.305882,
"openInterest": 0,
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"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T14:59:58.781569Z",
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{
"id": "1073770",
"question": "Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. \n\nAfter a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "182045.640667",
"active": true,
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"createdAt": "2025-12-31T13:54:16.621952Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:47:46.949941Z",
"closedTime": "2026-02-02 01:53:48+00",
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"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "January 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
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"umaEndDate": "2026-02-02T01:53:48Z",
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"volumeNum": 182045.640667,
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"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
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"bestAsk": 0.001,
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{
"id": "1073771",
"question": "Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xc8e2cb0f8baff17af693d88804003de9b96c84daf4abb1b55890f5c2825a8a47",
"slug": "another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-march-31-2026",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "7512.25595",
"startDate": "2025-12-31T17:11:05.326935Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. \n\nAfter a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.7565\", \"0.2435\"]",
"volume": "99822.665215",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-31T13:54:17.247735Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T14:59:11.616952Z",
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{
"id": "10829",
"ticker": "another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by",
"slug": "another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by",
"title": "Another 7.0 or above earthquake by",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "daily",
"image": "",
"icon": "",
"active": true,
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"createdAt": "2025-12-31T13:48:47.462974Z",
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"tags": [
{
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"slug": "science",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:20.623+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:20.826Z",
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{
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"createdAt": "2025-03-26T17:29:21.543627Z",
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"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:15:10.391999Z",
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{
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