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Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?). The rules and resolution criteria are as follows: 1. Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? This market will resolve according to whether the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/). 2. Which party will win the House in 2026? This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Ticker
another-us-government-shutdown-house-winner-2026
Volume
309.4K
24h volume
69
1w volume
157.5K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
14.9K
Liquidity CLOB
14.9K
Start
Dec 9, 2025
End
Nov 3, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 9, 2025
Event ID
101106
Slug
another-us-government-shutdown-house-winner-2026
Markets
5
Raw event data
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}- Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Vol 42.0KLiq 4.9KEnd Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Vol 57.7KLiq 10.0KEnd Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Vol 114.1KLiq —End Nov 3, 2026Closed
- Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Vol 95.5KLiq —End Nov 3, 2026Closed
- Will something else occur?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book