Loading event…
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ticker
anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap
Volume
474.5K
24h volume
364
1w volume
11.3K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
53.3K
Liquidity CLOB
53.3K
Start
Sep 23, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Sep 23, 2025
Event ID
48300
Slug
anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap
Markets
7
Raw event data
{
"id": "48300",
"ticker": "anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap",
"slug": "anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap",
"title": "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:29:27.873586Z",
"creationDate": "2025-09-23T00:29:27.873581Z",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 53341.27973,
"volume": 474528.197541,
"openInterest": 0,
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:44:01.539827Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T14:55:31.272253Z",
"competitive": 0.8470089994706194,
"volume24hr": 363.99,
"volume1wk": 11285.443645,
"volume1mo": 52410.01475,
"volume1yr": 471357.9275409998,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 53341.27973,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xcd778cf07b7b5d7eceb2cbbc5a41706d0e970415a269848d127ebfd5668f5a00",
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "608404",
"question": "Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0x40ead87026416ba8444c67b19fe9903b3a89b9c301985646a22c4d2e93fbf057",
"slug": "will-anthropics-market-cap-be-less-than-100b-at-market-close-on-ipo-day",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "10398.72634",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:22:48.082Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.006\", \"0.994\"]",
"volume": "90333.880847",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:44:02.542119Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T14:54:41.184296Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "<100B",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xcd778cf07b7b5d7eceb2cbbc5a41706d0e970415a269848d127ebfd5668f5a00",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 90333.880847,
"liquidityNum": 10398.72634,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 348.99,
"volume1wk": 5251.33625,
"volume1mo": 20583.624875,
"volume1yr": 90313.48084699998,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"14018274637090307878372326472471535510234764986484318979992031495866993899114\", \"96273034524767787776010786558805218686447675561409040405732588533059324765120\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 348.99,
"volume1wkClob": 5251.33625,
"volume1moClob": 20583.624875,
"volume1yrClob": 90313.48084699998,
"volumeClob": 90333.880847,
"liquidityClob": 10398.72634,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xcd778cf07b7b5d7eceb2cbbc5a41706d0e970415a269848d127ebfd5668f5a00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xb06fccd8df59baf088a5cb0e31dfce2fbbf04314109a0feeb3801ec7e036fa54",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:22:26Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8038352587867232,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.003,
"lastTradePrice": 0.006,
"bestBid": 0.005,
"bestAsk": 0.007,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"groupItemRange": "[\"0\", \"100000000000\"]",
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:18:04.092604Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "608405",
"question": "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0xbd90e8c5bcccb80d29890de5b70657b77e3d4454b2028531be9b3feee1c1baaf",
"slug": "will-anthropics-market-cap-be-between-100b-and-200b-at-market-close-on-ipo-day",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "6549.92611",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:22:49.15Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0075\", \"0.9925\"]",
"volume": "18080.913154",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:44:03.111587Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T14:54:31.800782Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "100–200B",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0xcd778cf07b7b5d7eceb2cbbc5a41706d0e970415a269848d127ebfd5668f5a01",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 18080.913154,
"liquidityNum": 6549.92611,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 562.601142,
"volume1mo": 3429.465787,
"volume1yr": 18080.913154,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"3582909290250926407191918122052174125159494741311100864347821017836587355465\", \"114008160522524135838931792829393318088619950145193198099438473731147377613768\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 562.601142,
"volume1moClob": 3429.465787,
"volume1yrClob": 18080.913154,
"volumeClob": 18080.913154,
"liquidityClob": 6549.92611,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xcd778cf07b7b5d7eceb2cbbc5a41706d0e970415a269848d127ebfd5668f5a00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x93e933bdadc7489b6bf7fa177ae7bda9a5df3e1fde6b20b68d6969b4944ed34e",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:22:28Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8047925395731582,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.003,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.003,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.002,
"lastTradePrice": 0.01,
"bestBid": 0.006,
"bestAsk": 0.009,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"groupItemRange": "[\"100000000000\", \"200000000000\"]",
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:18:04.106974Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "608406",
"question": "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0x138c8f644e5730c2e4c1f408552babf2b695b9799b213f252cfa2554d0709b71",
"slug": "will-anthropics-market-cap-be-between-200b-and-300b-at-market-close-on-ipo-day",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "7338.13329",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:22:48.896Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.007\", \"0.993\"]",
"volume": "25748.159239",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:44:03.669627Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T14:54:36.643354Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "200–300B",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0xcd778cf07b7b5d7eceb2cbbc5a41706d0e970415a269848d127ebfd5668f5a02",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 25748.159239,
"liquidityNum": 7338.13329,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 27.57,
"volume1mo": 4193.381428,
"volume1yr": 22767.47923899998,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"25364315774161045332043855484299094418372682136682452573538483866165300109323\", \"100681609576258995438038424641965680670018325584550779516176154363856139341383\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 27.57,
"volume1moClob": 4193.381428,
"volume1yrClob": 22767.47923899998,
"volumeClob": 25748.159239,
"liquidityClob": 7338.13329,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xcd778cf07b7b5d7eceb2cbbc5a41706d0e970415a269848d127ebfd5668f5a00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x70252f4a775e3234aeb8c81bdf0500b84b2275d0ded07f221300f49e6b096bf7",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:22:28Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8044735163296057,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.008,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.003,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.003,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.004,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0015,
"lastTradePrice": 0.005,
"bestBid": 0.003,
"bestAsk": 0.011,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"groupItemRange": "[\"200000000000\", \"300000000000\"]",
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:18:04.111255Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "608407",
"question": "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0xff54b9602883d013580a41c1c8ab52ed9d6af837e4dc71a76804b372ec721ad3",
"slug": "will-anthropics-market-cap-be-between-300b-and-400b-at-market-close-on-ipo-day",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "6096.38519",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:22:51.046Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0075\", \"0.9925\"]",
"volume": "19518.489798",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:44:04.236406Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T14:54:42.613238Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "300–400B",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0xcd778cf07b7b5d7eceb2cbbc5a41706d0e970415a269848d127ebfd5668f5a03",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 19518.489798,
"liquidityNum": 6096.38519,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 2014.702856,
"volume1mo": 5144.571967,
"volume1yr": 19349.299798,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"103262395307817397643448293620305783962194121365663113096802687661195478966769\", \"79328018962822842956095889753002194247245205822174361223020554741394694247688\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 2014.702856,
"volume1moClob": 5144.571967,
"volume1yrClob": 19349.299798,
"volumeClob": 19518.489798,
"liquidityClob": 6096.38519,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xcd778cf07b7b5d7eceb2cbbc5a41706d0e970415a269848d127ebfd5668f5a00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xf23ae842498647a768daa6dcdc7839200628f099b19b19a0d8b7c6a81d6f4803",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:22:30Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8047925395731582,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.003,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.007,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.005,
"lastTradePrice": 0.006,
"bestBid": 0.006,
"bestAsk": 0.009,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"groupItemRange": "[\"300000000000\", \"400000000000\"]",
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:18:04.117182Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "608408",
"question": "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0xdb9d3c46ca316a14d585c1657fb22a76ef24f67d7cd57ed9ecdfe7c419031189",
"slug": "will-anthropics-market-cap-be-between-400b-and-600b-at-market-close-on-ipo-day",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "3856.187",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:22:50.793Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]",
"volume": "25342.490948",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:44:04.777187Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T14:54:43.487573Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "400–600B",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0xcd778cf07b7b5d7eceb2cbbc5a41706d0e970415a269848d127ebfd5668f5a04",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 25342.490948,
"liquidityNum": 3856.187,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 274.33375,
"volume1mo": 4847.969896,
"volume1yr": 25342.490947999995,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"8363164561761349035857552741360916035907813451650923438568657749594524277933\", \"98435203099397333366478645490207244409089950776570596041709359306909815985953\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 274.33375,
"volume1moClob": 4847.969896,
"volume1yrClob": 25342.490947999995,
"volumeClob": 25342.490948,
"liquidityClob": 3856.187,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xcd778cf07b7b5d7eceb2cbbc5a41706d0e970415a269848d127ebfd5668f5a00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x749a80862042891893606f4c0a106eb747211777af76d2ac84a1c91f3d4a3987",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:22:30Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8054303726585385,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.003,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.013,
"lastTradePrice": 0.006,
"bestBid": 0.007,
"bestAsk": 0.01,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"groupItemRange": "[\"400000000000\", \"600000000000\"]",
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:18:04.12052Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "608409",
"question": "Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0xd1f296e1f58f9e7f6b0eb8a4f25c4e6759528c44e30c714debc311a4b5407afb",
"slug": "will-anthropics-market-cap-be-greater-than-600b-at-market-close-on-ipo-day",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "7322.9542",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:22:53.047Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.014\", \"0.986\"]",
"volume": "210404.103751",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:44:05.3337Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T14:54:42.460529Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "600B+",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0xcd778cf07b7b5d7eceb2cbbc5a41706d0e970415a269848d127ebfd5668f5a05",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 210404.103751,
"liquidityNum": 7322.9542,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 1264.873111,
"volume1mo": 3375.8649370000007,
"volume1yr": 210404.10375099978,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"37274093418935907685306114755989100443797473374068006190293618176554689002540\", \"93162980230033398538559684264587948628844941536217727449749640327127530170537\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 1264.873111,
"volume1moClob": 3375.8649370000007,
"volume1yrClob": 210404.10375099978,
"volumeClob": 210404.103751,
"liquidityClob": 7322.9542,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xcd778cf07b7b5d7eceb2cbbc5a41706d0e970415a269848d127ebfd5668f5a00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xd733093ebdfff552b8deb07933d1a743fff73dc650e1dc79e09c983e9a033804",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:22:32Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8089332112383473,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.014,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0035,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.067,
"lastTradePrice": 0.005,
"bestBid": 0.007,
"bestAsk": 0.021,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"groupItemRange": "[\"600000000000\", \"700000000000\"]",
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:18:04.123062Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "608410",
"question": "Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xaf4c3ba4d1b1568d4309bba0874cb7eec1e5b40a648f4a26b12efa2e9b5ee8a4",
"slug": "will-anthropic-not-ipo-by-june-30-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "11778.9676",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:22:52.793Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.925\", \"0.075\"]",
"volume": "85100.159804",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:44:05.925059Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T14:54:42.661207Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "No IPO by June 30, 2026",
"groupItemThreshold": "6",
"questionID": "0xcd778cf07b7b5d7eceb2cbbc5a41706d0e970415a269848d127ebfd5668f5a06",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 85100.159804,
"liquidityNum": 11778.9676,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 15,
"volume1wk": 1890.0265360000003,
"volume1mo": 10835.135859999999,
"volume1yr": 85100.15980400001,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"14495888673864948586083280727326896461319586754303430637766841544809472748499\", \"115325941598173083223514202069551504506839832374902801149030045097943446509453\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 15,
"volume1wkClob": 1890.0265360000003,
"volume1moClob": 10835.135859999999,
"volume1yrClob": 85100.15980400001,
"volumeClob": 85100.159804,
"liquidityClob": 11778.9676,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xcd778cf07b7b5d7eceb2cbbc5a41706d0e970415a269848d127ebfd5668f5a00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x7f7548f21c687076adc3835aa14596195304ca76e76e8dc09436a43d3b2fe50a",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:22:32Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8470089994706194,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "35535",
"conditionId": "0xaf4c3ba4d1b1568d4309bba0874cb7eec1e5b40a648f4a26b12efa2e9b5ee8a4",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 1,
"startDate": "2025-09-23",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.01,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.03,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.055,
"lastTradePrice": 0.95,
"bestBid": 0.92,
"bestAsk": 0.93,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"groupItemRange": "[\"0\", \"100000000000\"]",
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:18:04.127261Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "11109",
"ticker": "anthropic-ipo",
"slug": "anthropic-ipo",
"title": "Anthropic IPO",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "daily",
"image": "",
"icon": "",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"createdAt": "2026-02-03T19:02:47.159993Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T14:55:37.765749Z",
"volume24hr": 382.944575,
"volume": 474953.331716,
"liquidity": 59690.49843,
"commentCount": 8,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "439",
"label": "AI",
"slug": "ai",
"forceShow": true,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 23:08:32.469+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T23:08:32.49Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:23:51.126491Z",
"isCarousel": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102599",
"label": "IPO",
"slug": "ipo",
"createdAt": "2025-09-17T00:03:12.42045Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:24:11.130376Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1401",
"label": "Tech",
"slug": "tech",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-21 23:06:12.305+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-21T23:06:12.324Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:17:30.722289Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101999",
"label": "Big Tech",
"slug": "big-tech",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-26T21:46:09.386953Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:23:51.153305Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "553",
"label": "anthropic",
"slug": "anthropic",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-21 05:38:43.983+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-21T05:38:43.998Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:22:21.004792Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "600",
"label": "IPOs",
"slug": "ipos",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-30 16:53:29.136+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-30T16:53:29.141Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:09:32.705813Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "120",
"label": "Finance",
"slug": "finance",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:22:21.615+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:22:21.62Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:12:40.097768Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"seriesSlug": "anthropic-ipo",
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:16:25.014203Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}- Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Vol 85.1KLiq 11.8KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?Vol 210.4KLiq 7.3KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?Vol 25.3KLiq 3.9KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?Vol 19.5KLiq 6.1KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?Vol 18.1KLiq 6.5KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?Vol 25.7KLiq 7.3KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Vol 90.3KLiq 10.4KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book