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Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market refers on the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Sebastian Korda in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 22 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Sebastian Korda. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Korda' if Sebastian Korda advances against Carlos Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
atp-alcaraz-korda-2026-03-22
Volume
1.4M
24h volume
1.4M
1w volume
1.4M
Open interest
0
Liquidity
626.6K
Liquidity CLOB
626.6K
Start
Mar 21, 2026
End
Mar 29, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 22, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Event ID
291752
Slug
atp-alcaraz-korda-2026-03-22
Markets
10
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Carlos Alcaraz's overwhelming 90.5% implied probability stems from his dominant head-to-head edge over Sebastian Korda—winning all three prior meetings convincingly on hard courts—and superior recent form, including straight-sets victories over qualifiers in Miami. As world No. 2, Alcaraz boasts elite baseline power and movement tailored to the fast Miami surface, where he's a two-time champion, while Korda, despite upsetting higher seeds like Norrie this week, ranks 23rd and struggles against top-tier returners. No major injuries reported for either per official ATP updates, but Alcaraz's rest advantage after fewer sets played bolsters trader consensus on his straight-sets likelihood, reflecting historical favorites' 85% win rate in similar round-of-16 clashes.",
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}- Alcaraz vs. Korda: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Vol 168Liq 0End Mar 29, 2026Closed
- Alcaraz vs. Korda: Match O/U 21.5Vol 3.1KLiq 22.3KEnd Mar 29, 2026OpenOrder book
- Carlos Alcaraz vs. Sebastian Korda: Total Sets O/U 2.5Vol 466Liq 8.7KEnd Mar 29, 2026OpenOrder book
- Alcaraz vs. Korda: Match O/U 22.5Vol 287Liq 7.3KEnd Mar 29, 2026OpenOrder book
- Alcaraz vs. Korda: Match O/U 23.5Vol 184Liq 7.3KEnd Mar 29, 2026OpenOrder book
- Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian KordaVol 1.4MLiq 536.1KEnd Mar 29, 2026OpenOrder book
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Korda (+1.5)Vol 16.6KLiq 45.0KEnd Mar 29, 2026OpenOrder book
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs KordaVol 2.8KLiq 0End Mar 29, 2026Closed
- Alcaraz vs. Korda: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Vol 627Liq 0End Mar 29, 2026Closed
- Alcaraz vs. Korda: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Vol 401Liq 0End Mar 29, 2026Closed