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Bank of England decision in April?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Ticker
bank-of-england-decision-in-april
Volume
305.1K
24h volume
13.6K
1w volume
106.0K
Open interest
37.5K
Liquidity
52.8K
Liquidity CLOB
52.8K
Start
Feb 6, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 6, 2026
Event ID
200549
Slug
bank-of-england-decision-in-april
Markets
4
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Polymarket traders assign an 86.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England's Bank Rate at the April 30, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 decision to hold at 3.75% amid a Middle East conflict-fueled surge in energy prices that reversed inflation's downtrend. UK CPI held steady at 3.0% in February 2026, with core inflation ticking up to 3.2%, prompting Governor Bailey to caution markets against premature rate hike bets while signaling persistent upside risks to inflation forecasts. A modest 12.8% odds on an increase capture trader hedging against further oil shocks, while cut probabilities below 1% underscore sticky price pressures outweighing softening labor data. Key catalyst ahead: March CPI release on April 22.",
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}- No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?Vol 71.5KLiq 8.9KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
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