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Berlin State Election Winner
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Ticker
berlin-state-election-winner
Volume
517.6K
24h volume
336.1K
1w volume
476.8K
Open interest
47.8K
Liquidity
73.8K
Liquidity CLOB
73.8K
Start
Dec 2, 2025
End
Sep 20, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 2, 2025
Event ID
95248
Slug
berlin-state-election-winner
Markets
24
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Polls consistently show the CDU leading Berlin state election surveys by double digits ahead of the February 23, 2025 rerun, triggered by the constitutional court's November 2024 annulment of 2023 results due to voting irregularities. Voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent SPD-Greens-Left coalition's management of chronic budget deficits, S-Bahn transport breakdowns, and housing shortages has boosted CDU governing mayor Kai Wegner's prospects, reflected in trader consensus pricing CDU victory at 53.5%. The fragmented opposition, including a resurgent Left at around 12% in recent Infratest dimap polling, AfD's polarizing stance limiting coalition viability, and declining SPD-Greens support, positions them as distant challengers despite potential for shifts from campaign events or turnout dynamics.",
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}- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Vol 8.2KLiq 12.6KEnd Sep 20, 2026OpenOrder book
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