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Claude 5 released by…?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
claude-5-released-by
Volume
2.3M
24h volume
20.3K
1w volume
1.1M
Open interest
0
Liquidity
103.1K
Liquidity CLOB
103.1K
Start
Aug 7, 2025
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Aug 7, 2025
Event ID
36308
Slug
claude-5-released-by
Markets
7
Raw event data
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"title": "Claude 5 released by…?",
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}- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Vol 69.2KLiq 20.1KOpenOrder book
- Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Vol 715.1KLiq 36.1KOpenOrder book
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- Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?Vol 353.4KLiq —Closed
- Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?Vol 163.6KLiq —End Feb 6, 2026Closed
- Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?Vol 52.1KLiq —End Feb 6, 2026Closed