
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ticker
donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-march-20-march-27
Volume
376.9K
24h volume
233.5K
1w volume
369.3K
Open interest
131.6K
Liquidity
29.0K
Liquidity CLOB
29.0K
Start
Mar 17, 2026
End
Mar 27, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 17, 2026
Resolution source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump
Event ID
278368
Slug
donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-march-20-march-27
Markets
11
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"ticker": "donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-march-20-march-27",
"slug": "donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-march-20-march-27",
"title": "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?",
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"closed": false,
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"createdAt": "2026-03-17T04:00:00.750163Z",
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"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1623173",
"question": "Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xde6e636374c5de38bf09a861b08456fed474b82f32c2345302af93248a5eb51a",
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"resolutionSource": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
"endDate": "2026-03-27T16:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-17T04:13:36.560179Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-66eefdf4e0.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-17T04:00:01.159454Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-24T14:18:20.901078Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-23 16:45:31+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
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{
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"question": "Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?",
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"resolutionSource": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
"endDate": "2026-03-27T16:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-17T04:13:39.541244Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-66eefdf4e0.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-66eefdf4e0.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-17T04:00:01.310873Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-25T20:15:34.473474Z",
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{
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"question": "Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xad3470c05047d904731934e679b9bdad2f84d5176f821ec9372f328996a9839c",
"slug": "donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-march-20-march-27-60-79",
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"endDate": "2026-03-27T16:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-17T04:13:43.54861Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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{
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"question": "Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?",
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"volume1yrClob": 21842.817773000002,
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{
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"ticker": "trump-truth-social",
"slug": "trump-truth-social",
"title": "Trump Truth Social",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "daily",
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"context_description": "Trump's consistent high-volume posting on Truth Social, averaging 12-18 original posts and reposts daily in recent months amid his 2024 campaign and legal proceedings, underpins trader consensus pricing 100-119 posts from March 20-27, 2026, at 99.1%. This reflects his established pattern since launching the platform in 2022, with weekly totals routinely exceeding 100 even during trial testimony and rallies, unaffected by external constraints like Twitter bans. No recent developments alter this trajectory, as his activity remains a core communication tool regardless of election outcomes. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged health issues, extended platform outages, or an unprecedented strategic shift to limit social media engagement, though traders view these as remote risks given historical precedents.",
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