ECB Interest Rates: March 2026

Name: ECB Interest Rates: March 2026
Start: 2025-12-18T21:10:49.624984Z
End: 2026-03-19T00:00:00Z
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) March 2026 meeting. If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its March 19, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the March 19, 2026 meeting. If no interest rate decision or update is published by March 31, 20256, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Ticker
ecb-interest-rates-march-2026
Volume
251.6K
24h volume
13.8K
1w volume
72.0K
Open interest
Liquidity
50.9K
Liquidity CLOB
50.9K
Start
Dec 18, 2025
End
Mar 19, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 18, 2025
Event ID
110022
Slug
ecb-interest-rates-march-2026
Markets
Tags
Macro Indicators Europe Economy Economic Policy Global Rates
Raw event data
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Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?
Vol 84.2KLiq 16.3KEnd Mar 19, 2026OpenOrder book
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?
Vol 51.9KLiq 7.9KEnd Mar 19, 2026OpenOrder book
Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?
Vol 58.6KLiq 12.1KEnd Mar 19, 2026OpenOrder book
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?
Vol 56.8KLiq 14.6KEnd Mar 19, 2026OpenOrder book