
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on March 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Ticker
elon-musk-net-worth-on-march-31-953
Volume
318.2K
24h volume
22.1K
1w volume
122.2K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
56.5K
Liquidity CLOB
56.5K
Start
Feb 26, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 26, 2026
Event ID
230552
Slug
elon-musk-net-worth-on-march-31-953
Markets
9
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"context_description": "Polymarket traders price Elon Musk's net worth below $640 billion at 53.5% implied probability for March 31, reflecting skepticism over Tesla's near-term growth amid Q1 delivery misses of 386,810 vehicles—down 8.9% year-over-year—signaling EV demand weakness, price cuts eroding margins, and persistent high interest rates capping growth stock multiples. Musk's ~13% Tesla stake, valued at roughly $75 billion at current $175 share levels, dominates his ~$200 billion Bloomberg index total, with SpaceX ($210 billion valuation, ~$85 billion stake) and xAI ($24 billion post-money) providing stable but limited offsets. Bullish tails above $650 billion (cumulative ~25%) hinge on upcoming April 23 earnings highlighting Robotaxi/FSD progress, yet consensus trader sentiment favors sub-$640 billion amid macroeconomic headwinds.",
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