
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ticker
elon-musk-of-tweets-april-3-april-10
Volume
331.4K
24h volume
219.8K
1w volume
331.4K
Open interest
94.4K
Liquidity
676.0K
Liquidity CLOB
676.0K
Start
Mar 31, 2026
End
Apr 10, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution source
https://x.com/elonmusk
Event ID
327486
Slug
elon-musk-of-tweets-april-3-april-10
Markets
30
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"title": "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?",
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"slug": "elon-tweets",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket hovers tightly around 240-280 X posts by Elon Musk from April 3-10, with 240-259 and 260-279 each at 12.5% implied probability, reflecting his volatile recent pace amid cultural flashpoints like immigration debates and AI hype. X trackers report 77 posts March 30-April 1 (39/day average), up from 209 total March 24-31 (26/day), while resolved markets like March 20-27 (260-279) underscore mid-30s daily norms driven by viral engagements on politics and Grok features. Closely contested odds highlight uncertainty from news-driven spikes—Tesla earnings, SpaceX milestones, or controversy could push toward 300+, but quieter weeks cap below 220; traders eye real-time momentum as the period nears.",
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