
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 21 12:00 PM ET to March 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ticker
elon-musk-of-tweets-march-21-march-23
Volume
370.0K
24h volume
267.1K
1w volume
370.0K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
144.9K
Liquidity CLOB
144.9K
Start
Mar 19, 2026
End
Mar 23, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 19, 2026
Resolution source
https://x.com/elonmusk
Event ID
286710
Slug
elon-musk-of-tweets-march-21-march-23
Markets
10
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"slug": "elon-musk-of-tweets-march-21-march-23",
"title": "Elon Musk # tweets March 21 - March 23, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?",
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"liquidity": "16164.18629",
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"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 21 12:00 PM ET to March 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?",
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{
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"ticker": "elon-tweets-48h",
"slug": "elon-tweets-48h",
"title": "Elon Tweets 48H",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-114 tweets from March 21-23, 2026, with 90-114 tweets leading at 33.5% implied probability and 65-89 close behind at 29.5%, underscoring expectations of his signature high-volume X activity amid ongoing cultural dominance. This tight race stems from Elon's recent averages of 25-35 posts daily—spiking during Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, or political firestorms—mirroring 2024 patterns where election fervor pushed him past 100 daily equivalents. Differentiators include potential 2026 catalysts like Starship tests or DOGE initiatives boosting output, versus quieter periods yielding sub-20 days; historical volatility keeps tails slim, advising traders to watch real-time news cycles for shifts.",
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