
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 23 12:00 PM ET to March 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ticker
elon-musk-of-tweets-march-23-march-25
Volume
329.8K
24h volume
237.1K
1w volume
329.8K
Open interest
57.9K
Liquidity
133.1K
Liquidity CLOB
133.1K
Start
Mar 21, 2026
End
Mar 25, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 21, 2026
Resolution source
https://x.com/elonmusk
Event ID
293374
Slug
elon-musk-of-tweets-march-23-march-25
Markets
10
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"slug": "elon-musk-of-tweets-march-23-march-25",
"title": "Elon Musk # tweets March 23 - March 25, 2026?",
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"creationDate": "2026-03-21T16:16:01.949912Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-25T16:00:00Z",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?",
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"resolutionSource": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
"endDate": "2026-03-25T16:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "13311.0576",
"startDate": "2026-03-21T16:14:53.150329Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 23 12:00 PM ET to March 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0.12\", \"0.88\"]",
"volume": "10889.838711",
"active": true,
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-25T16:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "12333.2895",
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"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 23 12:00 PM ET to March 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?",
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{
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?",
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"liquidity": "10728.88776",
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"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 23 12:00 PM ET to March 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",
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"groupItemTitle": "240+",
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"endDateIso": "2026-03-25",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-21",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 16637.817331000006,
"volume1wk": 26302.482828999997,
"volume1mo": 26302.482828999997,
"volume1yr": 26302.482828999997,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"70461669670075752762295873065389477750245801553149336108337856477730957346294\", \"39599984085985098258794366127928883080703595602297106249884299826097988212783\"]",
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"umaReward": "2",
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"volume1moClob": 26302.482828999997,
"volume1yrClob": 26302.482828999997,
"volumeClob": 26302.482829,
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"rewardsMinSize": 50,
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}
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"series": [
{
"id": "10816",
"ticker": "elon-tweets-48h",
"slug": "elon-tweets-48h",
"title": "Elon Tweets 48H",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "daily",
"image": "",
"icon": "",
"active": true,
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{
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"label": "Culture",
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
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{
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-114 tweets over March 23-25, 2026, with 90-114 tweets leading at 31% implied probability and 65-89 close behind at 28.5%, reflecting his established pattern of 20-40 daily posts amid high-engagement periods. Recent surges—averaging 35 tweets per day in Q4 2024 during political and Tesla news cycles—anchor these odds, but uncertainty looms from unannounced 2026 events like potential Starship tests or xAI updates that could spike activity. Lower ranges trail due to rare quiet stretches, while extremes like 240+ sit at 0.3% amid historical caps around 150 tweets over three days, underscoring traders' bets on sustained cultural relevance driving viral threads.",
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"context_updated_at": "2026-03-23T11:02:05.634Z"
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}