
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ticker
elon-musk-of-tweets-march-27-april-3
Volume
352.0K
24h volume
224.7K
1w volume
352.0K
Open interest
119.2K
Liquidity
1.2M
Liquidity CLOB
1.2M
Start
Mar 24, 2026
End
Apr 3, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 24, 2026
Resolution source
https://x.com/elonmusk
Event ID
301949
Slug
elon-musk-of-tweets-march-27-april-3
Markets
30
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"title": "Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?",
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"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?",
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"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0065\", \"0.9935\"]",
"volume": "4717.353781999999",
"active": true,
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"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-24T04:00:05.729266Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-25T16:05:38.779778Z",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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"groupItemTitle": "540-559",
"groupItemThreshold": "27",
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"liquidityNum": 36801.33801,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-03",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-24",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 3161.0097840000003,
"volume1wk": 4717.353782,
"volume1mo": 4717.353782,
"volume1yr": 4717.353782,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"90888149641978702218263917397586082951030839054566968737355622375228333491748\", \"105049307698218926494073257363217554506773434339816173483283557930231286327819\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "2",
"volume24hrClob": 3161.0097840000003,
"volume1wkClob": 4717.353782,
"volume1moClob": 4717.353782,
"volume1yrClob": 4717.353782,
"volumeClob": 4717.353781999999,
"liquidityClob": 36801.33801,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
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"negRiskMarketID": "0x0da0616f00bd1b52838683d1055fb907786cba83fa3499b6a5b4540ebfecb700",
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"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
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],
"series": [
{
"id": "10000",
"ticker": "elon-tweets",
"slug": "elon-tweets",
"title": "Elon Tweets",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "weekly",
"image": "https://cdn.britannica.com/05/236505-050-17B6E34A/Elon-Musk-2022.jpg",
"icon": "https://cdn.britannica.com/05/236505-050-17B6E34A/Elon-Musk-2022.jpg",
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"publishedAt": "2024-06-14 18:57:17.756574+00",
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"startDate": "2024-06-14T18:57:17.756574Z",
"commentCount": 62356,
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],
"tags": [
{
"id": "596",
"label": "Culture",
"slug": "pop-culture",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:06.806106Z",
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{
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"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
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"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
"forceHide": true,
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},
{
"id": "972",
"label": "Tweet Markets",
"slug": "tweets-markets",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-06 19:19:25.344+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-06T19:19:25.37Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:18.711987Z",
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}
],
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"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"startTime": "2026-03-27T16:00:00Z",
"seriesSlug": "elon-tweets",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"tweetCount": 0,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-24T04:00:13.419365Z",
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 300 tweets from Elon Musk during the March 27-April 3, 2026 week, with 300-319 and 320-339 outcomes deadlocked at 11.5% implied probabilities, reflecting his sustained hyper-active X posting rhythm amid Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary. This competitive bunching stems from historical weekly averages hovering near 300 posts—including originals, replies, and reposts—driven by viral moments like recent election buzz and platform drama that spiked volumes to 400+ in peak weeks. Key differentiators include unpredictable news cycles: major announcements could propel toward 360+, while quieter periods pull below 280. Absent major shifts in his social media habits, traders eye steady cultural dominance keeping odds balanced in this range.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-03-25T16:01:14.099Z"
}
}