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Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethereum (ETH) is not the second or first largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization at any point between January 1, and December 31, 2026 ET, according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be CoinGecko. If CoinGecko becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be chosen. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Ticker
eth-flipped-in-2026
Volume
300.0K
24h volume
50
1w volume
11.4K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
32.8K
Liquidity CLOB
32.8K
Start
Jan 2, 2026
End
Jan 1, 2027
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 2, 2026
Event ID
139444
Slug
eth-flipped-in-2026
Markets
1
{
"id": "139444",
"ticker": "eth-flipped-in-2026",
"slug": "eth-flipped-in-2026",
"title": "Ethereum flipped in 2026?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ethereum (ETH) is not the second or first largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization at any point between January 1, and December 31, 2026 ET, according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be CoinGecko. If CoinGecko becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be chosen. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-01-02T20:53:18.674015Z",
"creationDate": "2026-01-02T20:53:18.674011Z",
"endDate": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 32818.5972,
"volume": 299992.718448,
"openInterest": 0,
"createdAt": "2026-01-02T20:45:16.620012Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-22T07:48:13.084782Z",
"competitive": 0.9880446596186148,
"volume24hr": 50,
"volume1wk": 11444.062804,
"volume1mo": 154770.27019399998,
"volume1yr": 299992.71844799997,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 32818.5972,
"commentCount": 10,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1089847",
"question": "Ethereum flipped in 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xcbca4926398df4622033099a661c591c5d5b62f3ac11e1dc871c2a7592c74e32",
"slug": "eth-flipped-in-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "32802.0745",
"startDate": "2026-01-02T20:46:33.067Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ethereum (ETH) is not the second or first largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization at any point between January 1, and December 31, 2026 ET, according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be CoinGecko. If CoinGecko becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be chosen. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.61\", \"0.39\"]",
"volume": "299992.718448",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-02T20:45:17.360264Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-22T07:50:30.97133Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xa205ccc957cc1e2a692857c3a0cff01192323f063a5e7d788b15eb29dacb4467",
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"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 299992.718448,
"liquidityNum": 32802.0745,
"endDateIso": "2027-01-01",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-02",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 50,
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"volume1mo": 154770.27019399998,
"volume1yr": 299992.71844799997,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"5696256002830425095773350415970497521807751621606677935878961079946544685641\", \"16908800275040414334648923932553225820855394547396165657067073625824818623157\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
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"volume1moClob": 154770.27019399998,
"volume1yrClob": 299992.71844799997,
"volumeClob": 299992.718448,
"liquidityClob": 32802.0745,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-02T20:46:11Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9880446596186148,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.04,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.01,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.48,
"lastTradePrice": 0.61,
"bestBid": 0.59,
"bestAsk": 0.63,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-02T20:45:40.540125Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "39",
"label": "Ethereum",
"slug": "ethereum",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:08:15.934+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:08:15.95Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:10:12.849291Z",
"forceHide": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "21",
"label": "Crypto",
"slug": "crypto",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:08:42.483174Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"eventCreators": [
{
"id": "43",
"creatorName": "threadguy",
"creatorHandle": "notthreadguy",
"creatorUrl": "https://x.com/notthreadguy",
"creatorImage": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1920651894982066176/ssOaEU8k_400x400.jpg",
"createdAt": "2026-01-05T17:57:51.265977Z"
}
],
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}