Fed rate cut by...?

{
  "id": "106884",
  "ticker": "fed-rate-cut-by-629",
  "slug": "fed-rate-cut-by-629",
  "title": "Fed rate cut by...?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2025-12-16T19:36:41.87716Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-12-16T19:36:41.877154Z",
  "endDate": "2026-06-17T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 152746.3087,
  "volume": 886073.286286,
  "openInterest": 0,
  "createdAt": "2025-12-16T17:20:13.708236Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-02-20T13:35:48.547984Z",
  "competitive": 0.9518143961927424,
  "volume24hr": 6043.681102999999,
  "volume1wk": 268705.1682879999,
  "volume1mo": 847363.7337410006,
  "volume1yr": 885968.0962860007,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 152746.3087,
  "negRisk": false,
  "commentCount": 3,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "949495",
      "question": "Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?",
      "conditionId": "0x4d162a40c3e3f458b0e0017485d7f9e6ead0cdd0573e38b26e0d5420525ccfa4",
      "slug": "fed-rate-cut-by-june-2026-meeting",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-17T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "26865.6412",
      "startDate": "2025-12-16T19:29:02.653507Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for June 2026, currently scheduled for June 16-17. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no June meeting takes place by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.725\", \"0.275\"]",
      "volume": "23045.129534",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-16T17:20:16.802894Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-20T13:35:03.398149Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "June Meeting",
      "groupItemThreshold": "3",
      "questionID": "0x2f772a04bffebc9f44df7b6abc4059be2db3c0117ad1f96989cf27f24784b3f2",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 23045.129534,
      "liquidityNum": 26865.6412,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-17",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-16",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 85.012757,
      "volume1wk": 3278.239813000001,
      "volume1mo": 11942.005465999999,
      "volume1yr": 23045.129534,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"36209573008978970585450419316941249216001556298548579804182609641681769351835\", \"92543936057805227559878526277749911113690688310000219713571176010393727192590\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 85.012757,
      "volume1wkClob": 3278.239813000001,
      "volume1moClob": 11942.005465999999,
      "volume1yrClob": 23045.129534,
      "volumeClob": 23045.129534,
      "liquidityClob": 26865.6412,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-16T19:28:41Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9518143961927424,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.03,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.02,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.025,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.1,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.74,
      "bestBid": 0.71,
      "bestAsk": 0.74,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-16T19:26:19.861314Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "949492",
      "question": "Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?",
      "conditionId": "0xc8929e80e74ae959b3ed9b9e1c5e0903ad38e02e1339462e3acf8b49bbca35a9",
      "slug": "fed-rate-cut-by-january-2026-meeting-412",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-01-28T00:00:00Z",
      "startDate": "2025-12-16T19:29:02.907095Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
      "volume": "588114.763678",
      "active": true,
      "closed": true,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-16T17:20:14.84176Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:41:41.751676Z",
      "closedTime": "2026-01-29 00:18:06+00",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "January Meeting",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0xd786bdbb450840cfa5500e93d19abf7ef9f06f76e4f62785698979efb198419f",
      "umaEndDate": "2026-01-29T00:18:06Z",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
      "volumeNum": 588114.763678,
      "endDateIso": "2026-01-28",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-16",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume1wk": 181964.79659799993,
      "volume1mo": 586034.7560540007,
      "volume1yr": 588114.7636780008,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"66439975995641615935410953783289471019829231789134229693644308636878057313106\", \"17266772289710058490519412737983848532456358482508275389195033899275049722154\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume1wkClob": 181964.79659799993,
      "volume1moClob": 586034.7560540007,
      "volume1yrClob": 588114.7636780008,
      "volumeClob": 588114.763678,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": false,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-16T19:28:41Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 0,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
      "spread": 0.001,
      "automaticallyResolved": true,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.008,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.017,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.1345,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.005,
      "bestAsk": 0.001,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-16T19:26:19.863378Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "949494",
      "question": "Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?",
      "conditionId": "0x626d0441b078eefbe2c49047960e7a3b6b4512c235507a2528ccc0f95f2474a6",
      "slug": "fed-rate-cut-by-april-2026-meeting",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-04-29T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "16595.7798",
      "startDate": "2025-12-16T19:29:03.160851Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for April 2026, currently scheduled for April 28-29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no April meeting takes place by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.225\", \"0.775\"]",
      "volume": "62184.967947",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-16T17:20:16.120656Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-20T13:35:05.462907Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "April Meeting",
      "groupItemThreshold": "2",
      "questionID": "0x9a7e64fb7938f5c4955aae7f8159fa8ed51322cf1ea67db0ce8b6e367542950a",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 62184.967947,
      "liquidityNum": 16595.7798,
      "endDateIso": "2026-04-29",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-16",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 1335.731138,
      "volume1wk": 14650.119486000003,
      "volume1mo": 44738.611459999986,
      "volume1yr": 62184.967946999976,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"103665283657652818155183704290908892828145905842320815814218026501095230008126\", \"100406850504260742244516090021080470575207819254631540914587402977371836191100\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 1335.731138,
      "volume1wkClob": 14650.119486000003,
      "volume1moClob": 44738.611459999986,
      "volume1yrClob": 62184.967946999976,
      "volumeClob": 62184.967947,
      "liquidityClob": 16595.7798,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-16T19:28:41Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9296920395119117,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.03,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.025,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.215,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.22,
      "bestBid": 0.21,
      "bestAsk": 0.24,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-16T19:26:19.86537Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "949493",
      "question": "Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?",
      "conditionId": "0xe7f239d76b59c4e614f0bdb80467026da833083e38a31a27fde8e0907417ea12",
      "slug": "fed-rate-cut-by-march-2026-meeting",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-03-18T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "109284.8877",
      "startDate": "2025-12-16T19:29:00.614483Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for March 2026, currently scheduled for March 17-18. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no March meeting takes place by April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",
      "volume": "212728.425127",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-16T17:20:15.445263Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-20T13:35:10.642702Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "March Meeting",
      "groupItemThreshold": "1",
      "questionID": "0x069bf8f7b9e7d475522f20b80fe280c8d29935d022935e5ff58469292d1caed6",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 212728.425127,
      "liquidityNum": 109284.8877,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-18",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-16",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 4622.937207999999,
      "volume1wk": 68812.01239100001,
      "volume1mo": 204648.36076099996,
      "volume1yr": 212623.23512699993,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"72902726884699850978994485999351956746728455432234001140689757304247177712068\", \"53272113497593770508259938237843428397311375602922346020189396666535895634343\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 4622.937207999999,
      "volume1wkClob": 68812.01239100001,
      "volume1moClob": 204648.36076099996,
      "volume1yrClob": 212623.23512699993,
      "volumeClob": 212728.425127,
      "liquidityClob": 109284.8877,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-16T19:28:39Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8408837688410519,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.01,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.02,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.175,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.06,
      "bestBid": 0.06,
      "bestAsk": 0.07,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-16T19:26:19.859431Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "159",
      "label": "Fed",
      "slug": "fed",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:27:18.986Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:21:40.937259Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101550",
      "label": "Jerome Powell",
      "slug": "jerome-powell",
      "createdAt": "2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T19:58:13.336932Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "100328",
      "label": "Economy",
      "slug": "economy",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:02:41.732549Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101800",
      "label": "Economic Policy",
      "slug": "economic-policy",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-02-06T18:05:50.554703Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:16:50.542525Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "100196",
      "label": "Fed Rates",
      "slug": "fed-rates",
      "forceShow": true,
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:03:31.746145Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "120",
      "label": "Finance",
      "slug": "finance",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:22:21.615+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:22:21.62Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:12:40.097768Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": false,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "gmpChartMode": "default",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "cumulativeMarkets": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false
}