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GPT-6 released by…?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
gpt-6-released-by
Volume
285.2K
24h volume
1.3K
1w volume
10.0K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
24.5K
Liquidity CLOB
24.5K
Start
Aug 7, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2025
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Aug 7, 2025
Event ID
36307
Slug
gpt-6-released-by
Markets
5
Raw event data
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}- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Vol 25.3KLiq 13.9KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
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