
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military engagement between the military forces of Greece and Turkey by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military engagement" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Greek and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution; however, minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. Missiles or drone strikes that are intercepted will not qualify, regardless of whether they land on adversarial territory or cause damage. Similarly, surface-to-air missile strikes impacting adversarial territory will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution (although surface-to-air missiles fired at an adversarial military aircraft would qualify). The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
greece-x-turkey-military-engagement-by-june-30
Volume
415.8K
24h volume
306
1w volume
307
Open interest
0
Liquidity
28.2K
Liquidity CLOB
28.2K
Start
Dec 22, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 22, 2025
Event ID
117601
Slug
greece-x-turkey-military-engagement-by-june-30
Markets
1
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