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Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control. Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Ticker
hezbollah-military-action-against-israel-on
Volume
427.7K
24h volume
164.8K
1w volume
397.5K
Open interest
110.4K
Liquidity
71.1K
Liquidity CLOB
71.1K
Start
Mar 20, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 20, 2026
Event ID
289930
Slug
hezbollah-military-action-against-israel-on
Markets
11
Tags
Raw event data
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}- Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 26, 2026?Vol 30.0KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
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