
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-march-26-2026
Volume
470.5K
24h volume
341.5K
1w volume
470.5K
Open interest
182.7K
Liquidity
230.1K
Liquidity CLOB
230.1K
Start
Mar 22, 2026
End
Mar 26, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 22, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD
Event ID
295989
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-march-26-2026
Markets
11
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"id": "295989",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-march-26-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-march-26-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 26?",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"startDate": "2026-03-22T10:34:09.011082Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-22T10:34:09.011071Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-26T12:00:00Z",
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"openInterest": 182734.65354600002,
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?",
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{
"id": "1680752",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 26?",
"conditionId": "0xab0ce5bfde0d59d194e2e415e4c6bd72f30a45ac32c4b05acbf68fd8d124b354",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-march-26-2026-60-61f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD",
"endDate": "2026-03-26T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-22T10:31:39.233499Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "27072.37670799999",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-22T10:00:49.369718Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-26T18:16:14.219979Z",
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{
"id": "1680753",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 26?",
"conditionId": "0xf300c03d93bfcf057565a9d512a581443e2d3fbd27513fd5a1a5a9e554efb080",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-march-26-2026-62-63f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD",
"endDate": "2026-03-26T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-22T10:31:46.256392Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1680754",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 26?",
"conditionId": "0xba744f5e6bc3cd6e1de330f1fd44e3b49a3ab6289bf3651b839030739e734f04",
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"endDate": "2026-03-26T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "197107.31229",
"startDate": "2026-03-22T10:31:51.237159Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1680755",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 26?",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD",
"endDate": "2026-03-26T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "1020.32907",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 26?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 26?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on March 26?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-26T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "5902.64475",
"startDate": "2026-03-22T10:32:21.293251Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on March 26?",
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{
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"context_description": "National Weather Service forecasts, backed by GFS and ECMWF model ensembles, project Chicago's highest temperature on March 26 at 66-67°F, reflecting trader consensus with 99.5% implied probability amid stable mild conditions from southerly winds and Midwest ridging. Recent 12- and 6-hour model runs over the past 24 hours have converged tightly on this range, with current morning observations at O'Hare aligning via gradual daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This positioning underscores short-range forecast reliability for urban heat islands like Chicago, where historical March averages hover around 45-50°F but seasonal anomalies support today's warmth. Upside risks include stronger warm advection exceeding 68°F, while downside from surprise clouds or fronts could dip to 64°F; monitor NOAA hourly updates as the day unfolds for resolution-defining measurements.",
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