
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-april-1-2026
Volume
305.7K
24h volume
183.3K
1w volume
305.7K
Open interest
60.8K
Liquidity
20.7K
Liquidity CLOB
20.7K
Start
Mar 28, 2026
End
Apr 1, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 28, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL
Event ID
317261
Slug
highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-april-1-2026
Markets
11
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"id": "317261",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-april-1-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-april-1-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1?",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL",
"startDate": "2026-03-28T10:17:30.797683Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-28T10:17:30.797646Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-01T12:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg",
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"volume": 305659.152148,
"openInterest": 60830.71363,
"createdAt": "2026-03-28T10:00:19.266061Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-01T12:39:55.160165Z",
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"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x4eb3a57d1c17876d529a44ffdf6c4ace60ade52da1d3c3067f287a7a382f8000",
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1757092",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on April 1?",
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-april-1-2026-65forbelow",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL",
"endDate": "2026-04-01T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"spread": 0.001,
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"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
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"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-28T10:02:00.863272Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
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{
"id": "1757093",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on April 1?",
"conditionId": "0x7111775802b102e6907776e058c06d8383c43fa90178640c48630d76501e963a",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-april-1-2026-66-67f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL",
"endDate": "2026-04-01T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-28T10:08:02.931165Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "56108.21068000002",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-28T10:00:19.491609Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-01T12:39:52.547499Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-01 09:25:07+00",
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"customLiveness": 0,
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"spread": 0.001,
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"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
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{
"id": "1757094",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on April 1?",
"conditionId": "0x1e1316c59c13b03131728c3f77cd5f7576351b927c46ad751445052f77883c15",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-april-1-2026-68-69f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL",
"endDate": "2026-04-01T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-28T10:08:05.933187Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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"closed": true,
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"createdAt": "2026-03-28T10:00:19.606442Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-01T12:39:52.316534Z",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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"groupItemThreshold": "2",
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"endDateIso": "2026-04-01",
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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{
"id": "1757096",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 1?",
"conditionId": "0x34c8759f4980e7d8b24471a6ce4ba58b52b4e738626cb9985bf9b5b23633787e",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL",
"endDate": "2026-04-01T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-28T10:12:01.282044Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 1?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 1?",
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{
"id": "1757104",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 1?",
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-april-1-2026-78-79f",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 1?",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 84°F or higher in Dallas on April 1 (98% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime maximum near 86°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds advecting warm air from the south. This aligns with NOAA ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing tight agreement on upper-80s peaks, building on March 2026's above-normal warmth—recent highs reached 86°F—and a spring outlook favoring elevated temperatures across the Plains amid persistent drought conditions. Historical April 1 normals sit at 76°F (record 93°F in 1918), underscoring the anomaly. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective development or increased cloud cover stalling peak heating, though current trends and reduced thunderstorm risk minimize this; hourly observations from Dallas Love Field will refine certainty through afternoon updates.",
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