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Highest temperature in London on April 2?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-london-on-april-2-2026
Volume
316.6K
24h volume
238.7K
1w volume
316.6K
Open interest
91.3K
Liquidity
29.4K
Liquidity CLOB
29.4K
Start
Mar 29, 2026
End
Apr 2, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 29, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC
Event ID
321062
Slug
highest-temperature-in-london-on-april-2-2026
Markets
11
Raw event data
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"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-london-on-april-2-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-london-on-april-2-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in London on April 2?",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC",
"startDate": "2026-03-29T10:07:38.342827Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-29T10:07:38.342802Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-02T12:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-london-on-jan-22-eouu0bkjph8i.jpg",
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"openInterest": 91253.27090399999,
"createdAt": "2026-03-29T10:00:01.441172Z",
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"id": "1773885",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on April 2?",
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{
"id": "1773890",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?",
"conditionId": "0x4b7827403831a1cffaa643d020b077162ea16da2de50530ea8a17dcf29fa0b49",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-london-on-april-2-2026-12c",
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"endDate": "2026-04-02T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "1890.73273",
"startDate": "2026-03-29T10:04:42.444114Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-london-on-jan-22-eouu0bkjph8i.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.975\", \"0.025\"]",
"volume": "29199.124004",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-29T10:00:02.435455Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-02T12:15:25.804976Z",
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"clobRewards": [
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on April 2?",
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"endDate": "2026-04-02T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 2?",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC",
"endDate": "2026-04-02T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-29T10:04:30.677636Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"endDateIso": "2026-04-02",
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"volumeClob": 27576.029197999993,
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 2?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 2?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 2?",
"conditionId": "0x78aec3618204f7c0ea97df3b10de7288298ad8858ed9114c3dd26e8702be576e",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-london-on-april-2-2026-17c",
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"volume24hr": 5881.759088000002,
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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{
"id": "1773898",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on April 2?",
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-london-on-april-2-2026-18corhigher",
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"endDate": "2026-04-02T12:00:00Z",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 2?",
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"context_description": "Met Office hourly forecasts for London on April 2 show a maximum temperature of 12°C during mid-afternoon under sunny intervals, with light northerly winds around 5-7 mph and minimal precipitation risk (<5%), aligning with the market's 97.5% implied probability on this outcome. Current observations from early morning—sunny spells amid variable cloud and temperatures near 9°C—reinforce this positioning, as cooler continental air limits warming potential below the typical early April average of 13°C. Ensemble model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS supports subdued peaks, following yesterday's slightly higher 13-15°C outlook amid a shift to more settled but restrained conditions after March's warmer spells. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 13°C or persistent early drizzle capping at 11°C; traders await real-time Heathrow-area readings for resolution.",
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}- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?Vol 29.2KLiq 1.9KEnd Apr 2, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 2?Vol 21.5KLiq 2.6KEnd Apr 2, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 2?Vol 18.5KLiq 1.6KEnd Apr 2, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 2?Vol 13.6KLiq 2.6KEnd Apr 2, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 2?Vol 10.3KLiq 1.8KEnd Apr 2, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on April 2?Vol 25.0KLiq 12.4KEnd Apr 2, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 2?Vol 9.9KLiq 7.6KEnd Apr 2, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 2?Vol 105.1KLiq —End Apr 2, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on April 2?Vol 38.8KLiq —End Apr 2, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 2?Vol 27.6KLiq —End Apr 2, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on April 2?Vol 17.5KLiq —End Apr 2, 2026Closed