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Highest temperature in London on April 3?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-london-on-april-3-2026
Volume
345.1K
24h volume
250.8K
1w volume
345.1K
Open interest
160.1K
Liquidity
104.6K
Liquidity CLOB
104.6K
Start
Mar 29, 2026
End
Apr 3, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 29, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC
Event ID
322500
Slug
highest-temperature-in-london-on-april-3-2026
Markets
11
Raw event data
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-london-on-april-3-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in London on April 3?",
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"startDate": "2026-03-29T21:08:17.245524Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-29T21:08:17.245506Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-03T12:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-london-on-jan-22-eouu0bkjph8i.jpg",
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"closed": false,
"archived": false,
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"liquidity": 104595.21362,
"volume": 345133.154478,
"openInterest": 160066.999813,
"createdAt": "2026-03-29T18:21:56.52046Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-03T19:35:53.131205Z",
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"commentCount": 0,
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{
"id": "1780673",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on April 3?",
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{
"id": "1780680",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?",
"conditionId": "0xfaf6be89099b4fcf19a33e0ab3b5f032c663ebdab03ddfde284cd615869360d8",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-london-on-april-3-2026-16c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC",
"endDate": "2026-04-03T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "1649.50457",
"startDate": "2026-03-29T21:05:58.009367Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-london-on-jan-22-eouu0bkjph8i.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-london-on-jan-22-eouu0bkjph8i.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.968\", \"0.032\"]",
"volume": "36576.669518999995",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-29T18:21:59.346613Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-03T16:03:57.777926Z",
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"liquidityClob": 1649.50457,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
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"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-29T21:04:36Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8203283938626311,
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"clobRewards": [
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"spread": 0.006,
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on April 3?",
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-london-on-april-3-2026-8c",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-london-on-jan-22-eouu0bkjph8i.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
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"endDateIso": "2026-04-03",
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{
"id": "1780675",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 3?",
"conditionId": "0x5319c4a2a938959226ebea7f53b17a60a29507044bc0e540f2097a41f50a8d0f",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC",
"endDate": "2026-04-03T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-29T21:05:36.968205Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"marketMakerAddress": "",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0x9b6ebeb47ba4b960bfa96fdfb23563fcbd0f1b42e9d0a0134575d3ccb36dfa04",
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"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 15941.580581999997,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-03",
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"volume1wk": 15941.580582000004,
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"volumeClob": 15941.580581999997,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"automaticallyActive": true,
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 3?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 3?",
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"context_description": "Met Office's latest hourly forecasts, updated midday on April 3, project London's highest temperature at 16°C, peaking around 5pm amid overcast skies, light morning rain, and blustery southwest winds gusting to 30mph, aligning closely with BBC Weather's 15–16°C outlook and driving the market's 96.8% implied probability on this outcome. Following March 2026's above-average temperatures (12.6°C max), a mild Atlantic air mass supports this positioning, though persistent cloud cover caps intensification potential above climatological early-April norms of 13°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon brighter spells reducing cloud, enabling solar heating to 17°C or higher, but wind chill and shower risks temper such upside; monitor real-time Heathrow observations and evening updates for shifts.",
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}- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?Vol 36.6KLiq 1.6KEnd Apr 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on April 3?Vol 41.0KLiq 1.7KEnd Apr 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 3?Vol 83.0KLiq 0End Apr 3, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 3?Vol 58.4KLiq 0End Apr 3, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 3?Vol 45.2KLiq 0End Apr 3, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 3?Vol 19.0KLiq —End Apr 3, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 3?Vol 15.9KLiq —End Apr 3, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on April 3?Vol 15.9KLiq —End Apr 3, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 3?Vol 13.7KLiq —End Apr 3, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on April 3?Vol 8.5KLiq —End Apr 3, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on April 3?Vol 8.5KLiq —End Apr 3, 2026Closed