
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-london-on-march-18-2026
Volume
410.7K
24h volume
330.8K
1w volume
410.7K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
93.2K
Liquidity CLOB
93.2K
Start
Mar 14, 2026
End
Mar 18, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 14, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC
Event ID
268916
Slug
highest-temperature-in-london-on-march-18-2026
Markets
11
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-london-on-march-18-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in London on March 18?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 18?",
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{
"id": "1585876",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 18?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 18?",
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{
"id": "1585881",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 18?",
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{
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 18?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on March 18?",
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{
"id": "1585886",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on March 18?",
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{
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"ticker": "london-daily-weather",
"slug": "london-daily-weather",
"title": "London Daily Weather",
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{
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"context_description": "Trader consensus heavily favors 18°C as London's highest temperature on March 18, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast models projecting daytime highs of 17-19°C amid a mild Atlantic airstream and high pressure influence. Ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS align closely, with 18°C matching verified soundings and recent observations of 16-17°C on March 17, consistent with March climatology where anomalies above 12°C average occur in 20-30% of mild years. This positioning reflects low model spread and radiative forcing from clear skies. Challenges include a sudden northerly wind shift or cloud overrun, as seen in 15% of similar setups, potentially capping at 16-17°C, though probability remains under 1%.",
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}