
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-london-on-march-22-2026
Volume
364.7K
24h volume
290.0K
1w volume
364.7K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
12.3K
Liquidity CLOB
12.3K
Start
Mar 18, 2026
End
Mar 22, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 18, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC
Event ID
282528
Slug
highest-temperature-in-london-on-march-22-2026
Markets
11
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-london-on-march-22-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in London on March 22?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 22?",
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{
"id": "1637942",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 22?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-22T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0.998\", \"0.002\"]",
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{
"id": "1637943",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 22?",
"conditionId": "0x18834c5270d05a017adedc2d1d54c7d6d020d2acc780539f71636ea4d9645428",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-london-on-march-22-2026-14c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC",
"endDate": "2026-03-22T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "2269.37707",
"startDate": "2026-03-18T10:05:14.376845Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 22?",
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"startDate": "2026-03-18T10:05:27.164895Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1637945",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 22?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on March 22?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 22?",
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{
"id": "1637939",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 22?",
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-london-on-march-22-2026-10c",
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"endDate": "2026-03-22T12:00:00Z",
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{
"id": "1637940",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 22?",
"conditionId": "0x9793d9a0812dfb13c156d9f85c6fc9fe00a1e718e156757fa265d35f7502fd85",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-london-on-march-22-2026-11c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC",
"endDate": "2026-03-22T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-18T10:04:56.366348Z",
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{
"id": "1637941",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 22?",
"conditionId": "0x58623aabeb345e4e988c5da194fb0e02e1b1609709fd444556150e4d708cd927",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-london-on-march-22-2026-12c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC",
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"title": "London Daily Weather",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 13°C in London on March 22, driven by the latest Met Office ensemble forecasts showing persistent cool northerly airflow capping temperatures around that mark amid cloudy skies and light showers. Historical March data from Heathrow observations averages 11-12°C maxima, aligning with current model outputs from ECMWF and UKMO that project minimal deviation, with 95th percentile runs rarely exceeding 14°C. This positioning reflects low volatility in short-range predictions, bolstered by satellite imagery of stable high-pressure blocking warmer Atlantic influences. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen breakdown of the blocking pattern allowing southerly winds, though probability remains under 1% per model probabilities.",
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