Highest temperature in NYC on April 1?

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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 1?",
      "conditionId": "0x2c5f478fcc1c646de065049595329012801f4abfc3f80f66e2fc0eb7f43066b6",
      "slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-1-2026-70-71f",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
      "endDate": "2026-04-01T12:00:00Z",
      "startDate": "2026-03-29T19:26:30.187426Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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      "takerBaseFee": 1000,
      "customLiveness": 0,
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    {
      "id": "1779901",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on April 1?",
      "conditionId": "0x7788d1af2a163cc4f98b73423b39bcafc0f33bc17bfebd58fe7c25878cf0f7c9",
      "slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-1-2026-74-75f",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
      "endDate": "2026-04-01T12:00:00Z",
      "startDate": "2026-03-29T19:26:42.993248Z",
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      "makerBaseFee": 1000,
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      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": false,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0x19f0a2b64d94a3f14f8d1ec4e523eb5cb0ed7b33707eb5778687101ad5fa9200",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0xa06b46b60a17d15a79b69ca35d821a791f80cc8072fc909684ca41cf443ed806",
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      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-29T19:25:20Z",
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      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.001,
      "automaticallyResolved": true,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.001,
      "bestAsk": 0.001,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-29T18:37:41.756162Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
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      "feeType": "weather_fees",
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    {
      "id": "1779906",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 1?",
      "conditionId": "0x025dd464e5a7eec0bbf474fd81b34fcbdd60b7f5ecbed2dcb151567f9b7a52c1",
      "slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-1-2026-84-85f",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
      "endDate": "2026-04-01T12:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "8174.41461",
      "startDate": "2026-03-29T19:27:14.507982Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",
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      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
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      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
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      "volumeNum": 13428.651663000008,
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      "endDateIso": "2026-04-01",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-29",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 9993.971209,
      "volume1wk": 13428.651663000002,
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      "volume24hrClob": 9993.971209,
      "volume1wkClob": 13428.651663000002,
      "volume1moClob": 13428.651663000002,
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      "makerBaseFee": 1000,
      "takerBaseFee": 1000,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
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      "negRiskMarketID": "0x19f0a2b64d94a3f14f8d1ec4e523eb5cb0ed7b33707eb5778687101ad5fa9200",
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      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-29T19:25:52Z",
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      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
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      "automaticallyActive": true,
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      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
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      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-29T18:37:41.764614Z",
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    {
      "id": "1779908",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 88°F or higher on April 1?",
      "conditionId": "0xa6ad00b0aa5d6ce6c4414b9f9fec86807d9418f707c265c902b0961cceb2be77",
      "slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-1-2026-88forhigher",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
      "endDate": "2026-04-01T12:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "7315.23693",
      "startDate": "2026-03-29T19:27:20.464211Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "88°F or higher",
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      "endDateIso": "2026-04-01",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-29",
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    {
      "id": "1779900",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 1?",
      "conditionId": "0x25c3b003a1766b83c4afc56fb322aeb980eeddea6edc7d5e1acbc88c29a62c99",
      "slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-1-2026-72-73f",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
      "endDate": "2026-04-01T12:00:00Z",
      "startDate": "2026-03-29T19:26:41.030083Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
      "volume": "69716.19285100001",
      "active": true,
      "closed": true,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-29T18:14:02.360075Z",
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      "closedTime": "2026-04-01 20:02:21+00",
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      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
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      "resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "72-73°F",
      "groupItemThreshold": "2",
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      "label": "Daily Temperature",
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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 78-79°F at New York City Central Park on April 1, 2026, with 99.9% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting peaks in this range under partly sunny skies. This positioning stems from a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Northeast fostering warm air advection from the south, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and minimal cloud cover inhibiting daytime heating—conditions confirmed by morning model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs issued overnight. Current observations already show 71°F amid mostly cloudy starts, building toward the peak this afternoon. Scenarios challenging this include an enhanced sea breeze front from cooler Atlantic waters or unanticipated convective clouds reducing insolation, though high confidence persists given synoptic stability and historical spring warmup precedents well shy of the 83°F record. Hourly updates from NOAA's Central Park station will finalize resolution.",
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