
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-16-2026
Volume
329.3K
24h volume
277.3K
1w volume
329.3K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
6.9K
Liquidity CLOB
6.9K
Start
Mar 13, 2026
End
Mar 16, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 13, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA
Event ID
265850
Slug
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-16-2026
Markets
11
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"id": "265850",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-16-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-16-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in NYC on March 16?",
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"creationDate": "2026-03-13T19:23:29.487404Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-16T12:00:00Z",
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"createdAt": "2026-03-13T19:15:31.377158Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-16T19:33:45.151235Z",
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"commentCount": 0,
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{
"id": "1577566",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on March 16?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"createdAt": "2026-03-13T19:15:31.647395Z",
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{
"id": "1577571",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 16?",
"conditionId": "0x7950ce05450204c3cd5b3733c91a82741d8112749b5e9fab371e58d50bea72ea",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-16-2026-54-55f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"endDate": "2026-03-16T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "1944.58639",
"startDate": "2026-03-13T19:21:37.236992Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.093\", \"0.907\"]",
"volume": "45941.57755899996",
"active": true,
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{
"id": "1577573",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 16?",
"conditionId": "0x2edeb1e45ee969418c5c89beeef9033bec293ebf2c6ec38118bd3ce4f508a980",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-16-2026-58-59f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"endDate": "2026-03-16T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "957.7867",
"startDate": "2026-03-13T19:21:51.458781Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1577569",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 16?",
"conditionId": "0xd3d6fd806f9a590381d6d84c0cb6df298a97f3741f2acb4fbd42028d51b4349d",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"endDate": "2026-03-16T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-13T19:21:27.304294Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1577572",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 16?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 16?",
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"clobRewards": [
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 16?",
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"customLiveness": 0,
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on March 16?",
"conditionId": "0xfb4874c0ad4a8b6a82ea56da971a1cd206edacd3a1f455228c65205429d161b0",
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"endDate": "2026-03-16T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 16?",
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"startDate": "2026-03-13T19:21:07.461178Z",
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"ticker": "nyc-daily-weather",
"slug": "nyc-daily-weather",
"title": "NYC Daily Weather",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "daily",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus heavily favors 56-57°F (39.5% implied probability) for New York City's highest temperature on March 16, propelled by ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models converging on this mild range due to a persistent high-pressure ridge enabling warm air advection from the south. National Weather Service guidance reinforces this, pinpointing 56-57°F at Central Park observatory—the market's resolution benchmark—amid light winds and partial sunshine. Recent 12z model runs have sharpened these odds, eroding support for cooler 54-55°F (18.1%) as departing Arctic air masses yield to seasonal norms. March climatology, with typical highs near 52°F, underscores the positioning of 58-59°F (18.5%) as a plausible upper outlier under clear skies.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-03-16T19:11:21.401Z"
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}