Highest temperature in NYC on March 20?

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      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
      "volume": "40000.47667999996",
      "active": true,
      "closed": true,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-16T10:00:31.233907Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-20T23:29:46.518799Z",
      "closedTime": "2026-03-20 22:47:41+00",
      "new": false,
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      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "50-51°F",
      "groupItemThreshold": "4",
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      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
      "volumeNum": 40000.47667999996,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-20",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-16",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 33389.92661600002,
      "volume1wk": 40000.476680000014,
      "volume1mo": 40000.476680000014,
      "volume1yr": 40000.476680000014,
      "gameStartTime": "2026-03-20 04:00:00+00",
      "secondsDelay": 3,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"56925300657694503641544082627691130500891327755690309384203475202874375906086\", \"115490479848634534626530892154604270734238747118653747063664535470869602005059\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 33389.92661600002,
      "volume1wkClob": 40000.476680000014,
      "volume1moClob": 40000.476680000014,
      "volume1yrClob": 40000.476680000014,
      "volumeClob": 40000.47667999996,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": false,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0x80ab04e56c0789ec86ee1033751b41ac056e8df395df9e1d250baea906ba1500",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x8c3d13591388c6f40c22efabe99c1907b0b048ae6aef637d454f4f09f6af7efd",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-16T10:07:17Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 100,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.001,
      "automaticallyResolved": true,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.001,
      "bestAsk": 0.001,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-16T10:02:14.782047Z",
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      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
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    {
      "id": "1605687",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 20?",
      "conditionId": "0x57f4ad4240d089b72ed7a487fd0894c6fedd2fe6c2eed269261525f1ef9024db",
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      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
      "endDate": "2026-03-20T12:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "752.44125",
      "startDate": "2026-03-16T10:08:49.258293Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
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      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.9875\", \"0.0125\"]",
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      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
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      "archived": false,
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      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "52-53°F",
      "groupItemThreshold": "5",
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      "volumeNum": 39810.326449999986,
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      "startDateIso": "2026-03-16",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
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      "volume1wk": 39810.32644999999,
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      "gameStartTime": "2026-03-20 04:00:00+00",
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      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 35243.495578,
      "volume1wkClob": 39810.32644999999,
      "volume1moClob": 39810.32644999999,
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      "volumeClob": 39810.326449999986,
      "liquidityClob": 752.44125,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0x80ab04e56c0789ec86ee1033751b41ac056e8df395df9e1d250baea906ba1500",
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      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-16T10:07:27Z",
      "cyom": false,
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      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 100,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.005,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.985,
      "bestBid": 0.985,
      "bestAsk": 0.99,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-16T10:02:14.783868Z",
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      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
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    {
      "id": "1605688",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 20?",
      "conditionId": "0x5b4a04f619b916d5471bc65069fd218930844c85d87a569a632c62f78e782224",
      "slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-20-2026-54-55f",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
      "endDate": "2026-03-20T12:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "1167.87566",
      "startDate": "2026-03-16T10:08:49.00421Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]",
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      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-16T10:00:31.443733Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-20T23:29:31.805289Z",
      "new": false,
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      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "54-55°F",
      "groupItemThreshold": "6",
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      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 60662.79638099989,
      "liquidityNum": 1167.87566,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-20",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-16",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 57412.18732399999,
      "volume1wk": 60662.79638099996,
      "volume1mo": 60662.79638099996,
      "volume1yr": 60662.79638099996,
      "gameStartTime": "2026-03-20 04:00:00+00",
      "secondsDelay": 3,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"20474370987085842813241769685508128224907277963838052490722172325687613941634\", \"74293424915327457498433138212758633441541075754084706657283308704717186083307\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 57412.18732399999,
      "volume1wkClob": 60662.79638099996,
      "volume1moClob": 60662.79638099996,
      "volume1yrClob": 60662.79638099996,
      "volumeClob": 60662.79638099989,
      "liquidityClob": 1167.87566,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0x80ab04e56c0789ec86ee1033751b41ac056e8df395df9e1d250baea906ba1500",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x6ddc9a3188522a05d2f793608aa448720fa4e1a82c46247c056ef6a1aa83b862",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-16T10:07:27Z",
      "cyom": false,
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      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 100,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
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      "automaticallyActive": true,
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      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-16T10:02:14.877073Z",
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      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
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    {
      "id": "1605689",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 20?",
      "conditionId": "0x57cc63633b1bd9f7f18c283e0d59bb776b90ba8b680cba0f18ed4f467e1a79e9",
      "slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-20-2026-56-57f",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
      "endDate": "2026-03-20T12:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "611.37386",
      "startDate": "2026-03-16T10:09:00.930631Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.007\", \"0.993\"]",
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      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
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      "archived": false,
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      "restricted": true,
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      "volumeNum": 24359.852892000014,
      "liquidityNum": 611.37386,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-20",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-16",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 22248.904446999997,
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      "gameStartTime": "2026-03-20 04:00:00+00",
      "secondsDelay": 3,
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      "umaBond": "500",
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      "volume1wkClob": 24359.852892,
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      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0x80ab04e56c0789ec86ee1033751b41ac056e8df395df9e1d250baea906ba1500",
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      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-16T10:07:39Z",
      "cyom": false,
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      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 100,
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      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-16T10:02:14.880894Z",
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    {
      "id": "1605690",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 20?",
      "conditionId": "0x1f290269fb143d4b5fa2733167607b67be168999ebb8c1d4168cfe6922eb07dc",
      "slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-20-2026-58-59f",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
      "endDate": "2026-03-20T12:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "1957.17379",
      "startDate": "2026-03-16T10:09:06.835364Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.001\", \"0.999\"]",
      "volume": "34812.23782600002",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
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      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
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      "resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "58-59°F",
      "groupItemThreshold": "8",
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      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 34812.23782600002,
      "liquidityNum": 1957.17379,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-20",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-16",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 29082.347916,
      "volume1wk": 34812.237826,
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      "gameStartTime": "2026-03-20 04:00:00+00",
      "secondsDelay": 3,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"13488739775674651046322658630347506224787845561024197024014474447174534074261\", \"53205156073734476398423807257751294603780661137647866134774552504812436349189\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
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      "volume24hrClob": 29082.347916,
      "volume1wkClob": 34812.237826,
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      "liquidityClob": 1957.17379,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0x80ab04e56c0789ec86ee1033751b41ac056e8df395df9e1d250baea906ba1500",
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on March 20?",
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      "endDate": "2026-03-20T12:00:00Z",
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      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",
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    {
      "id": "10005",
      "ticker": "nyc-daily-weather",
      "slug": "nyc-daily-weather",
      "title": "NYC Daily Weather",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "daily",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-jan-22-OStjLs0cRhiV.jpg",
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      "commentCount": 3942,
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      "label": "Weather",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:17:34.81+00",
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      "label": "New York City",
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    },
    {
      "id": "103040",
      "label": "Daily Temperature",
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      "label": "rewards 100, 4.5, 100",
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      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2026-03-11T18:44:12.92629Z",
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  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": false,
  "enableNegRisk": true,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "eventDate": "2026-03-20",
  "startTime": "2026-03-16T10:00:30.622Z",
  "seriesSlug": "nyc-daily-weather",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 52-53°F in New York City on March 20, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center and National Weather Service forecasts, which converge on mild but capped temperatures under cloudy skies and light northwest winds following a recent cold front. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show consistent guidance for highs in this narrow range at Central Park, the market's reference station, aligning with observed diurnal patterns and soil moisture dampening extremes. This positioning reflects low model spread and historical March variability, where deviations exceed 5°F only 10-15% of the time. Realistic challenges include an unexpected warm surge from downstream ridging or erroneous model initialization, though current 00Z runs reinforce the baseline outlook.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-20T23:19:10.217Z"
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}