
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-22-2026
Volume
399.0K
24h volume
237.7K
1w volume
399.8K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
100.3K
Liquidity CLOB
100.3K
Start
Mar 18, 2026
End
Mar 22, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 18, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA
Event ID
282546
Slug
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-22-2026
Markets
11
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"id": "282546",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-22-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-22-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in NYC on March 22?",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"startDate": "2026-03-18T10:13:47.799102Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-18T10:13:47.79907Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-22T12:00:00Z",
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"createdAt": "2026-03-18T10:00:31.126775Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-22T18:24:23.617732Z",
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"commentCount": 0,
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{
"id": "1638087",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on March 22?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-18T10:02:28.350601Z",
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{
"id": "1638078",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on March 22?",
"conditionId": "0xaae908989f25e34d9b6c5605f239f4009bf10be1526a98a8160af42237397ab0",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-22-2026-53forbelow",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"endDate": "2026-03-22T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "89434.76493",
"startDate": "2026-03-18T10:09:24.101Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",
"volume": "70392.56570400002",
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"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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{
"id": "1638079",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 22?",
"conditionId": "0x200fe9901b578b5f5e30765216d44c4c4e744e32661b178cfb7577719d329923",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-22-2026-54-55f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"endDate": "2026-03-22T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "1876.1011",
"startDate": "2026-03-18T10:09:26.203136Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-22T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1638082",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 22?",
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{
"id": "1638083",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 22?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 22?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 22?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"context_description": "Latest NOAA and GFS model ensembles point to a high near 59°F in NYC on March 22, driving trader consensus toward 58-59°F at 38.5% implied probability, with 60-61°F close behind at 27.5%. A ridge of high pressure over the Northeast ushers mild southerly flow, boosting temps above the March climatological average of 52°F, though marine-layer clouds and diurnal mixing cap extremes. Recent 12z runs refined this outlook after yesterday's ECMWF shift cooler by 1-2°F, while morning observations show surface temps climbing steadily from 45°F lows. Uncertainty lingers from potential afternoon convection, but historical precedents favor these mid-to-upper 50s outcomes over outliers like 70°F+.",
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