
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-24-2026
Volume
335.3K
24h volume
245.7K
1w volume
335.3K
Open interest
71.4K
Liquidity
—
Start
Mar 20, 2026
End
Mar 24, 2026
Status
Closed
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 20, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA
Event ID
289197
Slug
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-24-2026
Markets
11
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"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-24-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-24-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in NYC on March 24?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on March 24?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 24?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 24?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 24?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 24?",
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"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-20T10:00:31.662296Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-25T08:12:26.725403Z",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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"groupItemThreshold": "4",
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"umaEndDate": "2026-03-24T22:26:01Z",
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"volumeNum": 51435.92963499997,
"endDateIso": "2026-03-24",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-20",
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"volume24hr": 39359.094812,
"volume1wk": 51435.929635000015,
"volume1mo": 51435.929635000015,
"volume1yr": 51435.929635000015,
"gameStartTime": "2026-03-24 04:00:00+00",
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"umaReward": "5",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 24?",
"conditionId": "0x85525b248e15db1f58d4839d77fc1489fb26422fbd2e372abe4eee7177cdefef",
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"volume1wk": 68338.40515100001,
"volume1mo": 68338.40515100001,
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{
"id": "1660772",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 24?",
"conditionId": "0x58579ca66bf841aa80b8544bf317b8e9a1ea23fcf2831722d371bf8d0669ad9a",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-24-2026-48-49f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"endDate": "2026-03-24T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-20T10:09:22.719352Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"1\", \"0\"]",
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"active": true,
"closed": true,
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"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 52253.11919099993,
"endDateIso": "2026-03-24",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-20",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
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"gameStartTime": "2026-03-24 04:00:00+00",
"secondsDelay": 3,
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"volumeClob": 52253.11919099993,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": true,
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"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
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"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-20T10:02:16.379759Z",
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{
"id": "1660773",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 24?",
"conditionId": "0x6dac190f201aa679ed65fa1c2c2189baf2659dfd0a56c4976cf3285da623d09a",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-24-2026-50-51f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"endDate": "2026-03-24T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-20T10:09:32.637324Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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"customLiveness": 0,
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"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
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"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-20T10:02:16.381422Z",
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{
"id": "1660774",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 24?",
"conditionId": "0x091247f69b8dbb6c131e894be0981dcf17f8d0203bf266e49bfd0eb4302e9511",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-24-2026-52-53f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"endDate": "2026-03-24T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-20T10:09:34.643916Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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"volumeNum": 19768.931691,
"endDateIso": "2026-03-24",
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"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
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"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-20T10:02:16.383006Z",
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{
"id": "1660775",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 24?",
"conditionId": "0x730f41617ae4a874c7bc995d5527e35650c723f60794dff5a1c0743fef34f8ef",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-24-2026-54-55f",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 48-49°F in New York City on March 24, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on daytime highs in the upper 40s amid persistent cool northerly flows and cloudy skies. Verified observations from Central Park's official station show seasonal normals around 50°F, but current upper-air patterns—featuring a deep trough over the Northeast—support this subdued outlook, with minimal solar insolation due to overcast conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden shift in the jet stream allowing southerly winds or model overestimation of cloud cover, potentially pushing temperatures into the low 50s, though historical March variability suggests low probability of exceeding 56°F.",
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