
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-3-2026
Volume
494.3K
24h volume
438.0K
1w volume
494.3K
Open interest
219.8K
Liquidity
284.2K
Liquidity CLOB
284.2K
Start
Mar 29, 2026
End
Apr 3, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 29, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
Event ID
322504
Slug
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-3-2026
Markets
11
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"id": "322504",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-3-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-3-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Seoul on April 3?",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"startDate": "2026-03-29T21:28:34.124447Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-29T21:28:34.124406Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-03T12:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
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"openInterest": 219807.80602000002,
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"updatedAt": "2026-04-03T07:21:23.069095Z",
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"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1780720",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 3?",
"conditionId": "0xaa27e4e0f0ef6370d08f3353142f6fabd6a1308598b20bd6a301fc3ce8fe703d",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-3-2026-14c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
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"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-29T21:12:10.47649Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
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"feeSchedule": {
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{
"id": "1780723",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 3?",
"conditionId": "0xc2ec25d4716bc372a7b0eff179a6b28d5a3e1eb4188d5f93edb760a8cc235e9f",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-3-2026-17c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-03T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "46454.11711",
"startDate": "2026-03-29T21:24:15.775889Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",
"volume": "38188.73901800001",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-29T18:22:29.512355Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-03T07:17:44.391753Z",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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"endDateIso": "2026-04-03",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-29",
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"gameStartTime": "2026-04-02 15:00:00+00",
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"liquidityClob": 46454.11711,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"customLiveness": 0,
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"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-29T21:22:54Z",
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"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
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{
"id": "1780715",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or below on April 3?",
"conditionId": "0x9211d4c1204820c83c9b67426e6679675e99027729b806c8763c0279a7e5e448",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-3-2026-9corbelow",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-03T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-29T21:23:18.340407Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-29T18:22:27.031316Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-03T07:18:22.127877Z",
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"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
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"groupItemThreshold": "0",
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"volumeNum": 17053.028249000003,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-03",
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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{
"id": "1780719",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 3?",
"conditionId": "0x9411dcc04f80c3bc2e673d35fa3bf2d0f7ef4fd9160c380dc42165af10661461",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-3-2026-13c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-03T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "54654.55219",
"startDate": "2026-03-29T21:23:47.672159Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"approved": true,
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},
{
"id": "1780724",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 3?",
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"context_description": "Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecasts project Seoul's daytime high near 20°C on April 3, 2026, with mid-afternoon observations already hitting 21°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, cementing trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 19°C or higher at the resolving Incheon International Airport station. This positioning stems from a recent warm spell above seasonal norms—April averages around 18°C—driven by high-pressure ridging and minimal precipitation risks, aligning global models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt cold front or persistent overcast suppressing peak heating, but current atmospheric stability and solar exposure make sub-19°C outcomes highly improbable as final data finalizes via Wunderground records.",
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