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Highest temperature in Seoul on April 4?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-4-2026
Volume
385.6K
24h volume
350.2K
1w volume
385.6K
Open interest
145.3K
Liquidity
133.2K
Liquidity CLOB
133.2K
Start
Mar 29, 2026
End
Apr 4, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 29, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
Event ID
322563
Slug
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-4-2026
Markets
11
Raw event data
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-4-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Seoul on April 4?",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"creationDate": "2026-03-29T19:08:10.101044Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-04T12:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
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{
"id": "1781156",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 4?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 4?",
"conditionId": "0x203d176998cc9813e59edc920bfeaa46b3d43a52b29160b1cff8e8fd250a9372",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-4-2026-10c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-04T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-29T19:04:32.042109Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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"closed": true,
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"updatedAt": "2026-04-04T05:48:18.595943Z",
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{
"id": "1781160",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 4?",
"conditionId": "0x05ed2bd8b345fe3811b914dc4486a1566c41d74d2cbd3d4b02a0370a21d449f4",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-4-2026-12c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-04T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-29T19:04:46.384811Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1781162",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 4?",
"conditionId": "0xcb2a64d3d5d9314107a44ffd4d51548ce73dcbf79f9ee7b9490fd742c0fb4e76",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-04T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1781164",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 4?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 4?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 4?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 4?",
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},
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"context_description": "Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm the highest temperature at Incheon International Airport Station—the market's official resolution point—reached 18°C on April 4 amid clear morning conditions transitioning to mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that supported daytime heating to above seasonal norms. This aligns with KMA short-term forecasts projecting 17-18°C highs, reflecting typical early April climatology for Seoul (averaging 16-18°C) bolstered by recent warmer-than-average spring patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C or higher stems from this verified data, leaving negligible room for revision; only an erroneous measurement recalculation could challenge it, though KMA protocols ensure reliability. Final daily summaries expected by evening.",
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}- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 4?Vol 130.1KLiq 43.6KEnd Apr 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 4?Vol 118.3KLiq 42.0KEnd Apr 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 4?Vol 38.9KLiq 47.7KEnd Apr 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 4?Vol 25.3KLiq —End Apr 4, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 4?Vol 19.2KLiq —End Apr 4, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 4?Vol 12.7KLiq —End Apr 4, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 4?Vol 11.5KLiq —End Apr 4, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 4?Vol 9.0KLiq —End Apr 4, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or below on April 4?Vol 8.3KLiq —End Apr 4, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 4?Vol 7.7KLiq —End Apr 4, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 4?Vol 4.6KLiq —End Apr 4, 2026Closed