
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-17-2026
Volume
409.7K
24h volume
357.4K
1w volume
410.7K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
14.2K
Liquidity CLOB
14.2K
Start
Mar 13, 2026
End
Mar 17, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 13, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
Event ID
265871
Slug
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-17-2026
Markets
11
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"id": "265871",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-17-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-17-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 17?",
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"creationDate": "2026-03-13T20:09:22.889631Z",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C or below on March 17?",
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{
"id": "1577765",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 17?",
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-17-2026-8c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-03-17T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-13T20:08:16.798608Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
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{
"id": "1577768",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 17?",
"conditionId": "0x89607c9bd0251b77453ee838709d4f428103c6e9da5f60f8edf64eb114ff9822",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-17-2026-11c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-03-17T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "1022.946",
"startDate": "2026-03-13T20:08:32.928485Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 17?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 17?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 17?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 17?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 17?",
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"context_description": "Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts position 12°C as the market-implied frontrunner at 39.5% for Seoul's highest temperature on March 17, reflecting model consensus from ECMWF and GFS predicting mild highs of 11-13°C under southerly winds and weakening cold fronts. Recent surface observations show daytime maxima climbing from 9-10°C earlier this week, aligning with mid-March climatological averages of 11.5°C while urban heat island effects boost localized peaks. The 29% odds on 13°C or higher gained traction after yesterday's updated runs indicating Pacific high pressure dominance, edging out 11°C (22.5%) as transient cloud cover recedes, though short-range uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing.",
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