
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-18-2026
Volume
314.6K
24h volume
261.6K
1w volume
314.6K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
86.2K
Liquidity CLOB
86.2K
Start
Mar 14, 2026
End
Mar 18, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 14, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
Event ID
268928
Slug
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-18-2026
Markets
11
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"id": "268928",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-18-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-18-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 18?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C or below on March 18?",
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{
"id": "1585928",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 18?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-18T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-14T10:14:53.540132Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "6903.315423000002",
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"closed": true,
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"createdAt": "2026-03-14T10:00:18.392828Z",
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{
"id": "1585929",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 18?",
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-18-2026-5c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-03-18T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1585930",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 18?",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
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"startDate": "2026-03-14T10:15:04.49363Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1585931",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 18?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 18?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 18?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 18?",
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{
"id": "1585936",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 18?",
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{
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"ticker": "seoul-daily-weather",
"slug": "seoul-daily-weather",
"title": "Seoul Daily Weather",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors an 8°C high in Seoul on March 18, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest numerical weather prediction models, which forecast persistent cold air advection under cloudy skies with light snow risks, capping daytime heating. Synoptic charts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles align, showing a stable high-pressure ridge trapping chilly Siberian air masses, consistent with observed temperatures averaging 6-8°C recently. Historical March norms near 12°C underscore this as an outlier cold snap. Realistic challenges include an abrupt frontal passage or model bust from underestimated solar insolation if clouds dissipate unexpectedly, though low-probability per current 99.9% odds.",
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