
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-19-2026
Volume
429.4K
24h volume
377.6K
1w volume
429.4K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
14.5K
Liquidity CLOB
14.5K
Start
Mar 15, 2026
End
Mar 19, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 15, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
Event ID
272241
Slug
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-19-2026
Markets
11
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-19-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 19?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 19?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1596505",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 19?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 19?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 19?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 19?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 19?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 19?",
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{
"id": "1596514",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 19?",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus pins a 99.8% implied probability on Seoul's highest temperature reaching exactly 9°C on March 19, propelled by the Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast and converging global ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS, which project persistent northerly winds and cloud cover capping daytime highs amid a cool air mass. Historical March data shows average maxima around 11°C, but current upper-level patterns and recent observations of sub-10°C nights reinforce this positioning, with low solar insolation limiting warming. Realistic challenges include a late jet stream shift ushering southerly warmth or model biases in boundary layer forecasts, though such deviations occur in under 5% of similar setups.",
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