
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-21-2026
Volume
351.6K
24h volume
289.2K
1w volume
351.6K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
16.7K
Liquidity CLOB
16.7K
Start
Mar 17, 2026
End
Mar 21, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 17, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
Event ID
279165
Slug
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-21-2026
Markets
11
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-21-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 21?",
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{
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1625852",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 21?",
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-21-2026-6c",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 21?",
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{
"id": "1625854",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 21?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 21?",
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{
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"slug": "seoul-daily-weather",
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{
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"context_description": "Traders' near-unanimous consensus on a 11°C high temperature in Seoul on March 21 stems from the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest forecast, which projects a daytime maximum of exactly 11°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, corroborated by ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS showing minimal deviation. This aligns with March climatology, where Seoul's average high is 11.5°C and exceedances above 13°C occur in fewer than 10% of historical observations due to frequent cool Siberian air masses. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen warm front or downslope foehn winds accelerating by midday, though current upper-air patterns indicate stability with low confidence in such shifts.",
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