
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-28-2026
Volume
525.0K
24h volume
468.6K
1w volume
525.0K
Open interest
135.5K
Liquidity
32.7K
Liquidity CLOB
32.7K
Start
Mar 24, 2026
End
Mar 28, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 24, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
Event ID
302794
Slug
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-28-2026
Markets
11
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"id": "302794",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-28-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-28-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on March 28?",
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{
"id": "1701722",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 28?",
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-28-2026-9c",
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"endDate": "2026-03-28T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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{
"id": "1701723",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 28?",
"conditionId": "0xec9642b6cd9094b859de879b78b3e57a317a86b16bdde225a3995b862b13ee3e",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-28-2026-10c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-03-28T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1701724",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 28?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1701725",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 28?",
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"context_description": "Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS have converged on a daytime high of 12°C for Seoul on March 28, driving the 99.1% market-implied probability for this outcome amid transitional late-spring conditions with morning haze clearing to mostly clear skies, light winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with late-March climatological averages near 12°C, bolstered by current morning temperatures around 5–10°C and subtle urban heat island effects in central Seoul potentially offsetting cooler GFS runs against slightly warmer ECMWF tendencies. While short-range temperature forecasts carry high confidence due to refined model resolution, realistic challenges include delayed cloud cover dissipation enhancing solar heating to nudge peaks toward 13°C or persistent haze capping below 12°C; hourly KMA station observations will confirm the official maximum by evening.",
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