Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 3?

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      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.006\", \"0.994\"]",
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      "startDateIso": "2026-03-29",
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      "volume1mo": 35778.495369,
      "volume1yr": 35778.495369,
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      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
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      "automaticallyActive": true,
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    {
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 3?",
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      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
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    {
      "id": "1780896",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on April 3?",
      "conditionId": "0xc9368594cf9a932beb1e64a4ed025894855f17ade551a1183561e69af159f82b",
      "slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-april-3-2026-11c",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
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      "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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      "marketMakerAddress": "",
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      "volumeNum": 5160.523809,
      "endDateIso": "2026-04-03",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-29",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
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      "makerBaseFee": 1000,
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      "acceptingOrders": false,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0x16c3f11133ab4ba12aa5e15377f1335e02a0331497a25055aec6935519f49800",
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      "spread": 0.001,
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      "lastTradePrice": 0.001,
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    {
      "id": "1780898",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 3?",
      "conditionId": "0xd6f5223ab718f923db341d062efee9744f348dac3b4f100ebba78f8a82677bbc",
      "slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-april-3-2026-13c",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
      "endDate": "2026-04-03T12:00:00Z",
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      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 2999.125,
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      "automaticallyActive": true,
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      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
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    {
      "id": "1780900",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 3?",
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      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
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      "restricted": true,
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      "startDateIso": "2026-03-29",
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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 17°C in Shanghai on April 3, driven by official observational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—peaking at approximately 17°C (63°F early morning, with daytime readings hovering around 16°C amid light rain and scattered clouds). Breezy conditions and persistent overcast skies from a recent frontal passage suppressed solar heating, aligning with ensemble forecast consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models predicting 15–17°C highs. This fits early April climatology, where daily maxima average 16–18°C but vary with cloud cover. Realistic challenges include a late-day temperature spike to 18°C under clearing skies or post-initialization data revisions, though evening cooling and ongoing precipitation make this improbable; final data expected within 24–48 hours.",
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