
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-april-6-2026
Volume
366.0K
24h volume
313.8K
1w volume
366.0K
Open interest
61.4K
Liquidity
0
Liquidity AMM
0
Liquidity CLOB
0
Start
Apr 2, 2026
End
Apr 6, 2026
Status
Closed
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 2, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD
Event ID
335436
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-april-6-2026
Markets
11
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-april-6-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on April 6?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 6?",
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-april-6-2026-18c",
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"endDate": "2026-04-06T12:00:00Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1827312",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 6?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 6?",
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{
"id": "1827314",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 6?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 6?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 6?",
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{
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"context_description": "**Current observational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's official resolution source, confirm midday temperatures have already exceeded 27°C—reaching around 30°C amid CAVOK conditions with light southerly winds—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 27°C or higher as the daily maximum.** This unusually warm spell for early April, well above the climatological average high of 19°C, stems from a dominant high-pressure system fostering clear skies, high solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover, as reported in recent METAR observations (e.g., ZSPD readings showing peaks near 30°C). Model forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration had anticipated highs near 25°C, but actual surface measurements reflect enhanced warming from dry air and urban heat effects. Realistic challenges would require an official revision of the daily maximum below 27°C upon final reporting, though improbable given the late-day positioning and continued sunny conditions; traders await end-of-day data from the airport station for confirmation.",
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