
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-18-2026
Volume
339.4K
24h volume
272.3K
1w volume
339.4K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
6.5K
Liquidity CLOB
6.5K
Start
Mar 14, 2026
End
Mar 18, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 14, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD
Event ID
268944
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-18-2026
Markets
11
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"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-18-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-18-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 18?",
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"commentCount": 0,
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 6°C or below on March 18?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"groupItemThreshold": "0",
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{
"id": "1586084",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 7°C on March 18?",
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-18-2026-7c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
"endDate": "2026-03-18T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-14T10:18:44.436753Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "7149.593988000001",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-14T10:01:14.75288Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-18T05:54:46.830917Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-17 18:37:21+00",
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"groupItemThreshold": "1",
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{
"id": "1586085",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C on March 18?",
"conditionId": "0x37b688a24071a0027bcfc458b9a788cbf5b929491a8d2f4b19e52f6c60bd9344",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-18-2026-8c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
"endDate": "2026-03-18T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-14T10:18:52.804472Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1586086",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on March 18?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-18T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-14T10:18:59.610644Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1586087",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on March 18?",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
"endDate": "2026-03-18T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-14T10:19:06.783508Z",
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{
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 18?",
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{
"id": "1586092",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 18?",
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{
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"ticker": "shanghai-daily-weather",
"slug": "shanghai-daily-weather",
"title": "Shanghai Daily Weather",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 13°C in Shanghai on March 18, driven by ensemble weather model outputs from ECMWF and GFS, which converge on this precise temperature amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly winds suppressing daytime heating. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration align closely, projecting highs near 13°C based on current upper-air patterns and sea surface temperatures in the East China Sea. Historical March data shows Shanghai averages 11-14°C, reinforcing this positioning. Realistic challenges include an abrupt shift to southerly flow or unexpected clearing, potentially boosting solar insolation and pushing temperatures toward 15°C, though low-probability given stable synoptic conditions.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-03-18T05:47:18.341Z"
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