
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-19-2026
Volume
399.7K
24h volume
313.2K
1w volume
399.7K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
23.0K
Liquidity CLOB
23.0K
Start
Mar 15, 2026
End
Mar 19, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 15, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD
Event ID
272259
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-19-2026
Markets
11
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"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-19-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-19-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 19?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"groupItemThreshold": "0",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 5°C on March 19?",
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-19-2026-5c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
"endDate": "2026-03-19T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-15T10:14:01.41559Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-15T10:01:15.019734Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-19T10:50:45.985246Z",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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"questionID": "0x4424038bf9e32f195c39c9937d7a3783b2e5d0e9612fcf40abfe9f7c15d7dc01",
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{
"id": "1596685",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 6°C on March 19?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-19T12:00:00Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1596686",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 7°C on March 19?",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
"endDate": "2026-03-19T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1596687",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C on March 19?",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
"endDate": "2026-03-19T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-15T10:14:15.453618Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 12°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on March 19, driven by converged forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF, projecting a daytime high of exactly 12°C under persistent cool northerly flows and cloudy conditions typical for mid-March in the region. Historical data shows Shanghai's March average highs around 12-14°C, with current upper-air patterns suppressing warming via stable stratification. This positioning reflects low model spread, with 99.9% implied probability. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift or frontal breakdown, potentially lifting temps to 13-14°C, though ensemble probabilities for such outliers remain below 1%, per verified outlooks.",
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