
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-20-2026
Volume
375.5K
24h volume
297.6K
1w volume
375.5K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
93.4K
Liquidity CLOB
93.4K
Start
Mar 16, 2026
End
Mar 20, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 16, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD
Event ID
275660
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-20-2026
Markets
11
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"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-20-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-20-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 20?",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"creationDate": "2026-03-16T10:27:51.296879Z",
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"commentCount": 0,
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{
"id": "1605803",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 6°C or below on March 20?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1605804",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 7°C on March 20?",
"conditionId": "0xd913000c31d352384aa98d44cb23346fcd9e91cf0aed49ce700e64c04f79ee90",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-20-2026-7c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
"endDate": "2026-03-20T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-16T10:26:32.597872Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "7793.531499999999",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-16T10:01:16.007893Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-20T11:50:31.250168Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-19 18:38:57+00",
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{
"id": "1605805",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C on March 20?",
"conditionId": "0xc2932e0174d56d51b80d1d6d15c0c199272dd7f3fb8b7df9bfe337aaa0fb6abf",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
"endDate": "2026-03-20T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-16T10:26:38.563179Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1605806",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on March 20?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-20T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-16T10:26:46.569307Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1605807",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on March 20?",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
"endDate": "2026-03-20T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-16T10:26:52.603519Z",
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{
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"context_description": "Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on March 20, driven by high-confidence short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) models, which align on mild conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly winds capping daytime heating. Historical March data for Shanghai shows average highs of 12-15°C, and current surface observations confirm cool air masses persisting, with dew points around 8°C limiting convective warming. This positioning is robust, but a realistic challenge could arise from an unanticipated warm front or urban heat island amplification at key monitoring stations like Xujiahui, potentially pushing readings to 15°C or higher if cloud cover clears unexpectedly.",
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