Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 21?

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      "startDateIso": "2026-03-17",
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      "volume1mo": 60350.56421800004,
      "volume1yr": 60350.56421800004,
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      "automaticallyActive": true,
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      "manualActivation": false,
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      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 21?",
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      "startDateIso": "2026-03-17",
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 21?",
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      "slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-21-2026-16c",
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    {
      "id": "1626024",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 21?",
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    {
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 21?",
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      "id": "1626027",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on March 21?",
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  "series": [
    {
      "id": "10741",
      "ticker": "shanghai-daily-weather",
      "slug": "shanghai-daily-weather",
      "title": "Shanghai Daily Weather",
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      "recurrence": "daily",
      "image": "",
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      "liquidity": 93042.50126,
      "commentCount": 330,
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  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "84",
      "label": "Weather",
      "slug": "weather",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:17:34.81+00",
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      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:24.498535Z",
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    {
      "id": "103040",
      "label": "Daily Temperature",
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      "forceShow": false,
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      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:44.490115Z",
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    {
      "id": "102935",
      "label": "Shanghai",
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      "createdAt": "2025-12-05T15:55:55.52998Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:43.560665Z",
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  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
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  "enableNegRisk": true,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "eventDate": "2026-03-21",
  "startTime": "2026-03-17T10:01:19.788Z",
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  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-17T10:01:32.875965Z",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on March 21, driven by converged ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, which project mild spring conditions with highs stabilizing around 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical March data from the China Meteorological Administration supports this, with average highs near 13-15°C and minimal variability this late in the season amid neutral ENSO patterns. Recent updates from local stations confirm no incoming warm fronts, reinforcing 99.6% implied odds. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly airflow surge boosting temps to 16°C+, though synoptic charts show low likelihood below 1% across scenarios.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-21T09:32:44.700Z"
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}