Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 23?

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      "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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      "closed": true,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
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      "archived": false,
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      "restricted": true,
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      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
      "volumeNum": 55290.50489900001,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-23",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-19",
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      "volume24hr": 52066.565018,
      "volume1wk": 55290.50489899999,
      "volume1mo": 55290.50489899999,
      "volume1yr": 55290.50489899999,
      "gameStartTime": "2026-03-22 16:00:00+00",
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      "clobTokenIds": "[\"99779920917421143568567872079955242536715840942347606526857118714511588004450\", \"53291792347599129459080178964290863221265831611131590778223741155905094723161\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 52066.565018,
      "volume1wkClob": 55290.50489899999,
      "volume1moClob": 55290.50489899999,
      "volume1yrClob": 55290.50489899999,
      "volumeClob": 55290.50489900001,
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      "acceptingOrders": false,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0x35218a1ba2474b2da1ed65e7b02c1ab063c11485e4ecbc4211723efaf0191300",
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      "cyom": false,
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      "approved": true,
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      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.001,
      "automaticallyResolved": true,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.001,
      "bestAsk": 0.001,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
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      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
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      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-19T10:02:57.091015Z",
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      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
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    {
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 23?",
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      "startDateIso": "2026-03-19",
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      "volume1mo": 52646.562428,
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      "volume24hrClob": 49154.55062899998,
      "volume1wkClob": 52646.562428,
      "volume1moClob": 52646.562428,
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      "acceptingOrders": true,
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      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
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      "spread": 0.001,
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      "bestAsk": 0.998,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
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      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-19T10:02:57.092443Z",
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    {
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 23?",
      "conditionId": "0xf894de3afb821b6f58515ada8ea67b0292134b186ff703c9f4169a7a959f803c",
      "slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-23-2026-17c",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
      "endDate": "2026-03-23T12:00:00Z",
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      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
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      "volumeNum": 39789.91802699999,
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      "startDateIso": "2026-03-19",
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      "volume1wk": 39789.91802699999,
      "volume1mo": 39789.91802699999,
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      "volume24hrClob": 33162.9952,
      "volume1wkClob": 39789.91802699999,
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      "negRisk": true,
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      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
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    {
      "id": "1649231",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 23?",
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      "slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-23-2026-18c",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
      "endDate": "2026-03-23T12:00:00Z",
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      "startDateIso": "2026-03-19",
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    {
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 23?",
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      "startDateIso": "2026-03-19",
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      "volume1wk": 12331.125058000001,
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      "clobTokenIds": "[\"96668469905044790470731193046712899092593266198245681790060065758495258650544\", \"110988140312550570257759907763749700564803904407047641032714822665201862090879\"]",
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      "title": "Shanghai Daily Weather",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:17:34.81+00",
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  "enableNegRisk": true,
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  "eventDate": "2026-03-23",
  "startTime": "2026-03-19T10:01:19.052Z",
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    "context_description": "Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Shanghai high of 16°C on March 23 (99.5% implied probability), driven by strong alignment across ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS, which forecast daytime maxima of 15-17°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Official projections from the China Meteorological Administration corroborate this, citing mild early-spring conditions with surface temperatures peaking near 16°C amid typical March humidity levels around 60-70%. Historical data shows Shanghai's March averages 13-15°C, but recent mild patterns support the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen warm air advection event boosting temps to 18°C+, though model spread remains narrow at ±1°C, minimizing upset risk.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-23T08:17:44.092Z"
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