
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-27-2026
Volume
489.9K
24h volume
433.7K
1w volume
489.9K
Open interest
133.1K
Liquidity
161.7K
Liquidity CLOB
161.7K
Start
Mar 23, 2026
End
Mar 27, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 23, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD
Event ID
299429
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-27-2026
Markets
11
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"id": "299429",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-27-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-27-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 27?",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"creationDate": "2026-03-23T10:13:36.171152Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-27T12:00:00Z",
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"openInterest": 133144.52677,
"createdAt": "2026-03-23T10:01:22.540908Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-27T09:55:24.831389Z",
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"commentCount": 0,
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{
"id": "1690239",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on March 27?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "11°C or below",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
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"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-23T10:03:05.135177Z",
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{
"id": "1690240",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 27?",
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-27-2026-12c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
"endDate": "2026-03-27T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-23T10:09:23.010951Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "12546.952265999991",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-23T10:01:22.754511Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-27T09:53:41.489731Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-26 19:23:25+00",
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"groupItemThreshold": "1",
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"rewardsMinSize": 50,
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"deploying": false,
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{
"id": "1690241",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 27?",
"conditionId": "0x64cbc3a9249584a662e277a51da67251280a477bf705fef628a45345fcb8aec8",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-27-2026-13c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
"endDate": "2026-03-27T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-23T10:09:31.257229Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1690242",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 27?",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
"endDate": "2026-03-27T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-23T10:09:37.21415Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/shanghai-98a00e357b.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1690243",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 27?",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD",
"endDate": "2026-03-27T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-23T10:09:38.304466Z",
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{
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 27?",
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{
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"ticker": "shanghai-daily-weather",
"slug": "shanghai-daily-weather",
"title": "Shanghai Daily Weather",
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"createdAt": "2025-12-05T15:54:26.448172Z",
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{
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"label": "Weather",
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:17:34.81+00",
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{
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{
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{
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"eventDate": "2026-03-27",
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"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-23T10:01:38.490134Z",
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on March 27, driven by official observational data from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau confirming a daytime peak of 19°C amid mild spring conditions with southerly breezes and partial cloud cover. Multiple monitoring stations, including Pudong International Airport, reported synchronized readings below 20°C, aligning with seasonal climatology for late March where averages hover around 15–18°C. This strong positioning reflects validated thermometer measurements with negligible uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require a rare post hoc correction from the China Meteorological Administration due to data reconciliation, but final reports show no such discrepancies.",
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"context_updated_at": "2026-03-27T09:48:01.752Z"
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