Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 27?

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    {
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 27?",
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    {
      "id": "1690358",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on March 27?",
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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 25°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 27 (99.7% implied probability), driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF, which project a daytime high of 24–26°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate southerly winds suppressing stronger warming. Observational data from recent days shows typical early spring conditions in the Pearl River Delta, with sea surface temperatures around 22°C limiting convective heating, and historical March averages hovering near 24°C. This positioning reflects high-confidence model agreement, but a sudden clear-sky break or downslope föhn wind could push temperatures toward 28–29°C, though such scenarios remain improbable given current upper-air patterns and no tropical influences. Updated hourly observations from Shenzhen stations will finalize resolution.",
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