
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-march-19-2026
Volume
399.7K
24h volume
364.3K
1w volume
399.7K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
43.8K
Liquidity CLOB
43.8K
Start
Mar 15, 2026
End
Mar 19, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 15, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT
Event ID
272258
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-march-19-2026
Markets
11
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"id": "272258",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-march-19-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-march-19-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 19?",
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"commentCount": 0,
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on March 19?",
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"groupItemThreshold": "0",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 19?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-19T12:00:00Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tokyo-d6ed4bcfd5.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "16539.243725",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
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{
"id": "1596674",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 19?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-19T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 19?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-19T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1596676",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 19?",
"conditionId": "0x80bbeb34cdfceac2ddc971e3ed469b4cba79426a3a68bcecf5def1f234599c55",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT",
"endDate": "2026-03-19T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-15T10:08:44.330235Z",
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{
"id": "10740",
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"slug": "tokyo-daily-weather",
"title": "Tokyo Daily Weather",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "daily",
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{
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on March 19, propelled by Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS projecting a daytime peak of 18°C amid mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Verified hourly updates show temperatures climbing steadily but plateauing below 19°C, consistent with March climatology where urban heat islands rarely exceed 20°C this early in spring. Historical data from Haneda and central stations reinforces this, with similar setups averaging 17-18°C. Upside risks include an unanticipated warm front or measurement microsite variations at official probes, potentially tipping to 19°C, though wind shear caps extremes.",
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