
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-march-20-2026
Volume
328.6K
24h volume
301.9K
1w volume
328.6K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
88.4K
Liquidity CLOB
88.4K
Start
Mar 16, 2026
End
Mar 20, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 16, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT
Event ID
275659
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-march-20-2026
Markets
11
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"id": "275659",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-march-20-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-march-20-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 20?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C or below on March 20?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 20?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-20T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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"marketMakerAddress": "",
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{
"id": "1605794",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 20?",
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-march-20-2026-12c",
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"endDate": "2026-03-20T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 20?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 20?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-20T12:00:00Z",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on March 20?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 20?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on March 20?",
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{
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"title": "Tokyo Daily Weather",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 13°C in Tokyo on March 20, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts showing model consensus from ECMWF and GFS for daytime highs peaking at 13-14°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds from a lingering cool air mass. Historical March 20 data at Haneda Airport averages 12.8°C, aligning with this outlook amid typical early spring conditions influenced by the East Asian winter monsoon retreat. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge in warm southerly flow or high-pressure ridging, though current upper-air patterns show low likelihood, keeping upside risks minimal for traders.",
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